uofmiami

Looks like 94.0 for the high in Muttontown & 93.3 in Syosset.

Hotter yesterday than today at this time though temps will end up hotter due to W winds. Currently 88/76/99 in Syosset & 89/75/99 in Muttontown.

Been stuck at 91 for the past hour or so since seabreeze boundary came up from S Shore it seems. Prior to arrival got to 92.6 in Syosset and 92.3 in Muttontown.

MB E-class wagon.

Remote started my car, just a tad toasty inside at 123.

90 already in Syosset and Muttontown. Probably get to 95 or so at this rate.

Downpours from last night, almost .50, have temps lagging here in Syosset. Currently 81.6. Meanwhile in Muttontown, where only .10 fell last night, up to 84.

Almost .40 from the downpours in Syosset.

77/74 in Syosset & 77/72 in Muttontown.

Yet the hottest day in NYC so far this summer wasn’t modeled to be that hot, as I recall.

I’m definitely concerned about hurricanes along the east coast if this pattern persists through the rest of summer, which I think it will do.

Maybe some gusts to 40 mph otherwise not much of a wind threat. Flooding from rain will be more of a concern.

Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062020 500 PM EDT Thu Jul 09 2020 Satellite and radar imagery, along with surface observations, have shown that the area of the low pressure near the coast of North Carolina reformed closer to the deep convection east of the Outer Banks today. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft investigating the disturbance this afternoon confirmed that the center is located near the edge of the primary convective mass, and that the system is producing an area of 35-40 kt winds to the east and southeast of the center. Based on these observations, the system is classified as a tropical storm with an initial intensity of 40 kt. Fay is located over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream and within an area of light to moderate westerly shear. These environmental conditions could allow for slight strengthening tonight and Friday. After that time, the circulation is forecast to interact with the mid-Atlantic coast and will be passing over cooler waters north of the Gulf Stream, likely limiting any further intensification. Fay should weakening quickly once it moves inland Friday night or Saturday. Since a new center has recently formed, the initial motion is a highly uncertain 360/6 kt. Fay is expected to move generally northward between a high pressure ridge over the western Atlantic and an approaching mid-latitude trough. The 12Z dynamical model guidance has come into much better agreement on a track very close to the U.S. mid-Atlantic coast. With the recent center reformation to the northeast, the tracker guidance from the dynamical models shows a track farther offshore than the model fields imply. As a result, the NHC track lies along the left side of the guidance envelope but it is not as far west as what is indicated in the model fields. The NHC track and intensity forecast has required the issuance of a Tropical Storm Warning for a portion of the U.S. coast from the mid-Atlantic states to southern New England. Key Messages: 1. Fay is expected to produce 3 to 5 inches of rain with isolated totals of 8 inches along and near the track across the mid-Atlantic states into southeast New York and southern New England. These rains may result in flash flooding where the heaviest amounts occur. Widespread river flooding is not expected at this time. 2. Tropical storm conditionsare expected along portions of the mid-Atlantic and northeast coast Friday and Friday night, and a Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the coasts of New Jersey, New York and Connecticut, including Long Island. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/2100Z 35.5N 74.9W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 10/0600Z 37.1N 74.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 10/1800Z 39.0N 74.3W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 11/0600Z 41.6N 73.6W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 48H 11/1800Z 45.3N 72.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 60H 12/0600Z 49.1N 70.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown

Flood Watch National Weather Service New York NY 405 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020 ...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY EVENING... CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179- 100915- /O.NEW.KOKX.FF.A.0001.200710T1000Z-200711T0400Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex- Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven- Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic- Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen- Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange- Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester- New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)- Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwestern Suffolk-Northeastern Suffolk- Southwestern Suffolk-Southeastern Suffolk-Northern Queens- Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 405 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for Southern Connecticut, Northeast New Jersey, the Lower Hudson Valley, New York City and Long Island. * From Friday morning through Friday evening. * Heavy rain showers and embedded thunderstorms are forecast Friday into Friday evening. A total of 1 to 3 inches of rainfall is forecast with locally higher amounts possible. Torrential rainfall within a short period of time will be possible and this could lead to flooding of low lying, urban and poor drainage areas. Some smaller streams and rivers could exceed bankfull. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should flash flood warnings be issued.

Can only keep it at bay for so long. Was just a question of when and for how long once it arrives.

Around 1-2” it seems, locally higher spots, then hot for next week.

No worries, I figured you didn't know about the tropical potential, so I just put the map up.

Next tropical storm to be named in the Atlantic.

There goes another potential heatwave, never fails with onshore flow this summer.

Looks like EWR, LGA & JFK all hit 90 already.

Your satellite loop is showing yesterday. I’m thinking these clouds are going to keep a lid on temps with the backdoor front clouds racing in from the NE as well. Also, looks like heat for next week is legit with a potential shot at our first heatwave for NYC region.

Clouds are coming in from the N now & might thwart a run at 90. We shall see.

Is my cache on my browser messed up or is this a map from June 27th?

JFK hit 90 @ 1:30 pm today.

As long as skies are clear 90 seems a go for today. Tomorrow we’ll have to see if clouds pop up and thwart another attempt at 90.