TalcottWx

Hrrr appears to be handling this terribly. Looks closer to nam nest. 

Monmouth County NJ getting it.

Look at base velocity north of Cleveland. 

2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Precip popping on LI and coastal CT.

Coastal new haven could get hit hard if that seabreeze storm manages to stay put. 

Radar is damn juicy though. 

Not impressed right now. 

1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

2-4” is manageable and run of the mill in these CC days. 

We might see a big drop off n/s. Shoreline might get hammered IMO.

53 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

The flood watch in southern CT is a good call. Much of the guidance has a good signal for rain later this evening/early Wednesday that could lead to a few inches. The axis of the heaviest however is still unclear.

Meanwhile the GFS has adjusted away from its buried in the SE look and importantly is more robust verbatim as the remnant/post tropical low reaches the region. At least at 06z. Breezy at the coast on both the GFS and Euro for the wind wishers.

As we finally see Debby reach the Atlantic we’ll see if the guidance trends back away from those far west and weaker solutions. I should note that even those weaker runs overnight dumped 3+ in many spots. We’re likely going to get soaked regardless. 

I'm checking out some model runs this morning. It's definitely more wet up to I-84 or so.

We'll see which way it ticks. It looks meh along and north of the pike IMHO.

26 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Is the Tuesday-Wednesday flood watch related to Debby?

Looked like PRE wouldn’t even be until Friday or so?

I wondered this earlier, but figured it was the easiest way to refer to the event. It seemed wrong to list the dates it occurred between. I can tweak it to also mention a stationary band. 

Here's a thread for Debby's Remnants. 

https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/60979-debbys-remnants-heavy-rain-severe-threat/

I hope everyone is having a nice summer. 

I made a threat for the flooding and severe threat from Debby. 

A flood watch was just issued for Southern Connecticut. 

Flood Watch

National Weather Service New York NY

306 PM EDT Mon Aug 5 2024

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-060900-

/O.NEW.KOKX.FA.A.0009.240806T1800Z-240807T1600Z/

/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-Northern

New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern

Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-

Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-

Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-Northern

Westchester-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-

Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-

Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern

Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-

306 PM EDT Mon Aug 5 2024

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY

MORNING...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.

* WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut, including the following

  areas, Northern Fairfield, Northern Middlesex, Northern New Haven,

  Northern New London, Southern Fairfield, Southern Middlesex,

  Southern New Haven and Southern New London, northeast New Jersey,

  including the following areas, Eastern Bergen, Eastern Essex,

  Eastern Passaic, Eastern Union, Hudson, Western Bergen, Western

  Essex, Western Passaic and Western Union, and southeast New York,

  including the following areas, Bronx, Kings (Brooklyn), New York

  (Manhattan), Northeast Suffolk, Northern Nassau, Northern Queens,

  Northern Westchester, Northwest Suffolk, Orange, Putnam, Richmond

  (Staten Island), Rockland, Southeast Suffolk, Southern Nassau,

  Southern Queens, Southern Westchester and Southwest Suffolk.

* WHEN...From Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,

  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.

  Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur

  in urban areas quickly. Extensive street flooding and flooding of

  creeks and rivers are possible.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...

  - Heavy rainfall results in the potential for flooding. While

    much of the flooding is expected to be localized, significant

    flooding is possible due to rainfall rates of 1 to 2 inches

    per hour. Especially along fast responding rivers and

    streams, and in more urbanized locations.

  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood

Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding sh ould be prepared

to take action should flooding develop

On 6/23/2024 at 4:00 PM, CoastalWx said:

So far it’s meh compared to modeled. Srn end storm worth watching though. 
 

We’ll see what generates later.

Probably because you Meh the threat at 4p before it began.

I'm parking near Whitingham in Vermont in the path of that developing monster. Trying to find a good view west. 

1 hour ago, TalcottWx said:

I'm trying go set up ahead of the storms. I'm in Whately checking radar; I might set up in Greenfield. 

I'm in Brattleboro, going to take Rt 9 west towards Bennington. 

I'm trying go set up ahead of the storms. I'm in Whately checking radar, might set up in Greenfield. 

The rain began at 9:25 a.m. and quickly became heavy. It's truly amazing how much rain we've had over the past year. It certainly helped the flowers blossom spectacularly but it also helped the Mosquito population thrive, which is not pleasant due to my proximity to the Farmington River. 

4 hours ago, CT Rain said:

Is it that rare? I feel like it happens quite a bit this time of year. 

Rare?!

It's pouring in Simsbury at 50f.

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ya that’s true too…I guess we’ll see in the morning. 

Don't get me wrong, it looks awful. Haha. 

8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Well by Looking at the radar Jay, the steady stuff will be over for the most part by midnight it’s looking like. Not much coming up from the south after the central Jersey stuff.  Sure…there may be some spritzes/sprinkles through the morning…but  nothing of consequence it seems. 

I hear ya, secondary is only just getting offshore, not expecting any miracles, but we will likely have to contend with something in the AM, I have no idea what, probably just messy mix for most. 

19 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

 Yea maybe midnight. 

17 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Yup, and then Hopefully that’s it. No big deal here at all. 

??? 

Precip falls until like noon tomorrow. 

24 minutes ago, FXWX said:

Mix of hvy rain/sleet in highest elevations of Burlington, CT... 

Same here in Weatogue, CT. Temp has dropped to 37.

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Hard to tell, but looks like flakes are mixing in on Wachusett webcam.  Could just be insane rain

Milk and bread for you. 

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just had first power outage. Now back on 

If it flips again, you can report as two outages #damage

16 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Power outages over/ under 100k?

Combined? Easily. Maine will have 100k+ alone.