pawatch

Sure not looking great for the weekend.

Hopefully take a look at things on Wednesday morning and see how things look. Right now the models are messing with us. Looks like it's going to be a pretty nice week... Edit: NWS It is worth noting that the long range guidance from the GFS shows the NAO dipping negative at the end of January... something that has not happened since the end of November 2019.

Thanks Blizz A lot of black ice up here this morning.

A little bit of slop up here this morning.

Mag don't beat yourself up to bad. Weather pattern has been wrecking havoc with the models. Appreciate all your thoughts and forcasts!! Even though you messed one up this week. My new motto...Either we're all going to get hammered. Or nobody gets anything.

I would tend to agree with what he is saying. Temps appear to be questionable. About Monday models will show a foot of snow and by Thursday it will all be rain.

We have just been in this pattern we can't get away from...To bad it's not a snow pattern. Not trusting any models 3-5 days out anymore this winter.

We have enough precipitation, Just no cold.

Thanks for posting that! A nice read! Hope your ok.

And to add to all the warm tempeture talk,here is this post. @NWSStateCollege 3h Although it may not feel like it today or tomorrow, climatologically speaking we are at the coldest part of winter! Normal temperatures start to trend upward next week as we begin the slow climb toward Spring. #PAwx pic.twitter.com/J8sDgIy3cV

Nice write up Mag! Myself I am kind of worried that the Canadian high looks weak,appears to be tapping into leftover cold air. As usual not a whole lot of blocking.

To me it looks like GFS is under doing precipitation which isn't a bad thing. We are still in this Zonal flow with storms tracking west of us and usually not enough cold air in place = a sloppy mess. Hopefully things change... Mag thanks for taking the time to do that nice post!!

Getting some LES this morning. Looks like we might have picked up an inch. Getting around to go out and clean everything up, I will get a measurement. 2" yesterday, surprised how fast the warm air advanced yesterday even with all that cold air in place. Next weekends storm looks like it will start out as snow and change to rain. But we have a lot of time for lots of changes this week.

I think I will end up with 2”. Pingers and then turned back to snow. Moisture just seem to dry up...few dry slots.

Steady snow...1.5”

That’s a nice dry slot. Voyager we seem to get them a lot.

20 degrees just started snowing north of Williamsport.

Here it comes....

My Verizon home internet has been down for 3 days. Suppose to be back up tomorrow morning. Local outage Not really able to follow this storM. Seems we’re in this pattern where we can’t keep cold air in place. Most of what the models show a week out I usually cut the total in half. To me seems like a more realistic number.

My internet has been down all day. Suppose to be back up tomorrow morning. I hate when that happens

It was a weird weather day yesterday. Walking out side and have the warm hit you in the face just seemed weird. No ice on the river, people still fishing on the river. Talked to a guy and he said he caught a 40" musky yesterday. Turned the AC on in the bedroom last night. My wife said that seemed crazy but she wasn't complaining. I hope we don't get a mess like the GFS is showing. Sure makes snow removal on my lane tough. Would be happy with just all snow event. 000 SXUS71 KCTP 120745 RERIPT RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 238 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2020 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT WILLIAMSPORT PA... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 66 WAS SET AT WILLIAMSPORT PA YESTERDAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 65 SET IN 1975. $$ MARTIN

Maybe get your generators fueled up today.

Going to be a week of temp changes it appears.

It was really weird...got up to look outside "1:00 am" and it was so foggy you could hardly see anything.