wthrmn654

pressure is already 987.6 at closest station.. be interesting to see just how low it goes!

low tide is 433pm edt, shes coming ashore at dead low time, great news for most areas that are developed for sure. super duper news, 2 buoys are active and will be nearly ground zero for eye! and there pressures are dropping rapidly! the following are 2 stations in order of closest to storm to the 2nd closest NDBC - Station EINL1 Recent Data (noaa.gov) NDBC - Station AMRL1 Recent Data (noaa.gov)

are tides running lower then forecast??? actual verus forecast amounts.

minor flooding by shell beach,LA but its trending down right now... could the speed of the storm, and timing of coming to shore a possible saving grace????

im looking at any station that does tide measurements, im not seeing any in any kind of flood stage, in fact its low tide right now...

Station Home Page - NOAA Tides & Currents 989mb pressure and winds gusting over 60 knots

with how fast she's flying now couldn't this be a positive sign in terms of storm surge/ flooding severity?

4pm est mini update, things flying northeast at 17 mph..

got to about 80knots and held

this cant be accurate estimate of wind/pressure!

looks like degrading last couple frames with that punch on the right side ?

so weird they must of had a malfunction but fixed it Cause on tidbits it said mission finished.

Looks like one of the AF low level recon flights ended very early they only took off did a small circle just offshore then returned to base. So as it stands we have no more recons at the moment

Yes

Sad state the Gulf observation buoys etc are in so many are offline possibly ahead of the storm or for other unknown reasons directly in the path of the storm to...

Reports from Air Force Reserve and NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Francine has changed little in intensity during the last several hours. Flight-level winds from the aircraft and a northwest eyewall dropsonde suggest that the maximum sustained surface winds are near 80 kt, and the central pressure is near 976 mb. The aircraft have been reporting a large elliptical eye open to the south, which matches the depiction of the eye in WSR-88D Doppler radar data from Lake Charles. Satellite imagery does show that the cloud pattern is becoming elongated from northeast to southwest due to the increasing effects of southwesterly shear.

Sat Data has weakening flag now on, nhc also mentions shear is now starting to show its effects too. Nhc issued an extra update at 11 am (12 pm est) An oil platform north of the center recently reported sustained winds of 85 mph (137 km/h) and a gust of 101 mph (163 km/h) at an elevation of 98 ft (30 m).

Dam she picked up speed!

979 on recon?