wthrmn654

15 mintues ago they're was about 4,800 people workout power on the island, now it's 9,800 people without power staggering 346 individuals outages

Up to 50 mph, I'm plowing comes, and dot barrels off road, never seen barrels with weights blowing across road before

Dam wind just went insane dot barrels and ruins blowing across road etc!

Looking at radar i think the last line of rain is about Baltimore right now. I'm guessing that's the cold front.

For tide stations that overlay prediction forecasts, some appear to be falling short of forecast high tide levels so that's good sign.

I will say high tide is at 10 am and the tides are rising so fast since 7 am with a more south west wind versus traditional south east winds were used to out here. Marshes are looking mighty high

Islip has broken high high temp record so far also

Looks like a squall line might be trying to form.

Updated few mintues ago on nws slack: Highest wind gusts as of 8am: TEB: 56mph, LGA: 47mph, Bronx (NYSM): 44mph, Queens (NYDM): 42mph, HPN: 41mph

Regarding winds, an 80-90kt low level jet at 925mb shifts through much of the coastal area this morning. Forecast soundings however show a strong low level inversion which has kept winds more tame than expected, though they are still expected to increase into the morning. It appears that winds are going to have a tough time mixing down to the surface for much of the day. Thinking is that about 50% of the 925mb jet winds could still mix down anyway, which translates to higher-end wind advisory gusts, but cannot completely rule out a gust or two that reaches warning criteria. Not enough confidence that the occurrence would be widespread enough to warrant a high wind warning, but will keep messaging the threat of isolated 60mph gusts in the advisory. No change to the end time of the advisory, but can`t rule out 46mph+ gusts for a couple of hours after midnight.

We are obsessed with weather, we're all classified as insane lol

Euro was showing something to. Way to far away to get excited about, we track

59 at 709 cst and it's now 52 in 3 mintues potent!

Crazy line showing up on velocity!

Dam that line is fierce. 2 squall lines just merged into 1 down in Tennessee.

Sorry but try again. A trace isn't considered measurable by the NWS. You started by saying 9 in a row multiple times, then 7 now your down to 5

You might want to fact check your knowledge before posting about it non stop...

Big changes coming to the gfs model, new datasets, etc including AI stuff. Talking about it right now on weather channel with new guy in charge of noaa

What happened? You said 9 before, now we're down to 7?!

Non the less, if the 1 met who says there's a chance of a L forming of the coast giving most east snow, is correct then snow not rain. But I believe what he says with a grain of salt lol Around new years*

You are more annoying then Tony saying every winter storm threat will snow and "we track". @MJO812

Shocking no major storms enough to put a damper or stop festivities in NYC area.

In regards to a potential storm later end of month, I need some historian help, how many times has there been some sort of snow storm around new years day/ eve?

Just was talking to a guy from nws on slack, his standpoint is as follows. Hello Michael. Current thinking is that this is a high-end advisory wind event. An isolated gust to warning thresholds is not out of the question, but a widespread warning-level event is not likely in spite of the strong winds aloft. These winds from aloft would have a tougher time reaching the surface vs some strong/high wind events we had a month or so ago. Regarding its speed. It looks like it will cross your area at roughly 1pm give or take an hour.