wthrmn654
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Everything posted by wthrmn654
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Bunch go left on the whacky loop dee loop roller coaster ride, but a chuck go north east but at various different locations....
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Looks like 1 maybe 2 recon Missions are about to happen, plane just took off ahead of it.
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I did, works over and it was 90 something today feeling like dragon breath I couldn't do anything outside lol
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I think I got out, 80W 20N near that area I think it's spinning around ... Someone else please verify
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The longer you loop the satellite images the better you can see how's it's turning etc. It's got the counter spin starting/ going. But where exactly that center is I deft thing is east of where they say it was.
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At 18z it was on land but not far from water.. if I had to guess where the centralcenter was right now it would be right here..
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Really hard to tell where the big kahoons will end up.
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Just looking at 90 frames satellite view, it's starting to get that counter clockwise spin going and last few frames is deft got some explosion going on near it's estimated center which maybe getting over water now.
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Recons up behind the storm.. mission: "survey"
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At 18z center is prog to be nearly over water south ish of I think that's Cuba.
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Anyone notice that 2nd storm chugging is way into the gulf on the gfs for next weekend? Where the heck did that come from
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The gefs followed the op fairly well with heavy rain from Florida all the way to coastal main.
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It's coming down to timing... if it is meandering and moving really slow, allows the front to grab it before coming to the north east areas... if it moves a little faster and beats the front, looks like it has a better chance of staying closer to coast from Virginia north. EDIT: I meant north Carolina not Virginia..I need to refresh my memory on states again apparently..
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Well 12z gfs kinda got rid of all meandering.. goes across Florida, moves slowly on Atlantic side, looks like it touches no one really, other then Florida, but now has its sites on a long Island hit now. EDIT: VERY CLOSE BY NO DIRECT HIT STARTS GOING NORTH EAST NEXT FRAME OR 2.
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It's the red headed step child of a model sometimes. It tries it hardest
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Finally had a mintue to look at some of the stuff, I will say looking at trends the gfs and euro both have trended closer to the north east past few runs.. still long way aways with lots possibly to change but a compromise between the slightly inland euro and the near the bench mark gfs ops runs seems plausible. Edit: in regards to us northerners
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about 90 today but no rain. though got 1.15 inches yesterday so that was quite helpful.
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its my day off you wont be getting much of anything after today.
