wthrmn654
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Everything posted by wthrmn654
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models have it weaker barely a 3 now as of 12z 00z and 6z were moderate Cat 3s with some nearing cat 4
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Fish for east coast, eastern Canada and Bermuda threat from this point forward. Front coming east slowed down a little so that's why the slight west shift in the long range.
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Good God look at how fast that things moving west lol
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Lol, now who hacked the cmc and put 1 ensemble track taking a prefect east coast track to the north east?
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Jeez, it speed up to 28 WNW movement, insane !
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100% fish system north of PR. Minus any wildly dramatic changes, Bermuda may or may not see something. With lesser effects down by PR... mind you this morning the wave was going west at 25 mphs very hard to develop systems at those speeds
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5 pm it became Ernesto...
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Poor guy on its own
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You sure about that? After it get to about Bermuda it going northeast
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Still, the loop that he posted only shows short term range not long term... And that poster person quoted lives in Florida so I'm sure his first priority would be the south east area first. Lol
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12z, 18z, does any of this looks west or an loosing my mind. Doesn't look it too me Maybe a slice but the curve is still pronounced.
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Euro ops is east eps to? Gefs I think looks east overall looking at the total precip
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Anyone having issues with this website loading weird on mobile devices sometimes? Right now I have to zoom really far out to see notifications etc.. not sure what it might be.. Only happening on this page right now
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I will note though that the 00z euro the jet stream doesn't capture the storm very easily, and it does it closer to the north east but still offshore.
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For starters, it's a lot harder to get a storm to turn left. Not to mention if it turns north before a certain degree, 70W for example. Also, would appear that it's getting captured by the 200mb (jet stream) on the gfs and euro models fairly well.
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I think this will ultimately be a miss for the east coast but, let's see how things develop.
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Thinking back, it's very rare to have systems legitimately crawl. Anytime something is north of the Carolinas tropical wise they Bengal end up moving faster then modeled.. why this happens, I don't know.. but it's deft not common for tropical systems to crawl like some models were shooting out at first.
