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Baum

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Everything posted by Baum

  1. ^ glass half full post. That's a damn rare thing these days.....
  2. ^ not that I put much faith into that model, but that image is probably a best case scenario. Also, keep in mind everything fades south and weaker in time...
  3. might not be a bad thing to get rid of today's 3-4" and wash off the salt residue before the warm up. Funny thing, now I see LOT only has upper 20's for highs next Wednesday. Dealayed, not denied I suspect.
  4. THE ECMWF SUITE OF GUIDANCE HAS BEEN THE MOST CONSISTENT WITH THIS THREAT, WHICH CONTINUED ON THE 00Z CYCLE, INCLUDING GOOD ENSEMBLE SUPPORT. PREVIOUS HOLDOUT GFS SUITE TRENDED STRONGLY TOWARD THE ECMWF WITH THE 00Z CYCLE. THE MEAN SOLUTION OF THE GFS AND ECMWF ENSEMBLES BRINGS ITS BROAD SNOW SWATH OVER THE CWA, WITH THIS LIKELY BEING FROM A DEVELOPING DEFORMATION AREA BASED ON THE GENERAL ENSEMBLE MEMBER SURFACE LOW PLACEMENT. ....LOT AM AFD on the potential. If 12Z holds might be thread time.
  5. glad I checked in. Let's get this done, and I'll take the early spring. Euro stays on course...who starts the thread?
  6. ^ i have no issue with an ealry spring meaning consistent 50's and 60's beginning in March. But it never works out that way...climo, I guess.
  7. a combination of both. Had to wonder over here after the gut punch from today's models....
  8. always happens eventually...in fact, had a storm / event thread each of the past 2 weeks....
  9. cluster**** should be in part of our next storm thread title.
  10. prediction: the 18Z NAM still won't matter in the new decade.
  11. at this point I'm all in on "fantasy range big dogs"
  12. Still remember the warmth of Christmas 1982, and the record breaking cold one year later on Christmas. Appears the new Christmas sweater will have to wait...same as my snowblower a few years back. Merry Christmas all!
  13. they hit December spot on when a lot of folks were calling for cold. Kudos to Chi storm also as while it was a bit delayed, which isn't unusual our Indian Summer is glorious.
  14. Probably the wrong thread, and not a troll as I'd love a snowstorm, but not freezing my azz off with a bit of sun while getting the Christmas cheer accomplished isn't depressing me to bad. Winter will come soon enough, and hopefully it's gone by the end of March this year.
  15. a bit tongue and cheek on my part. December's story was written when trick or treaters need snow shovels to get around. Now I hope for a flip around the new year to real winter weather.
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