Baum

reality....the usual trends have been weak fades to the south...not saying that would be the case here.

^ i have no issue with an ealry spring meaning consistent 50's and 60's beginning in March. But it never works out that way...climo, I guess.

your in SE Michigan....does nothing for me. Though, I'm good for anyone else scoring.

No 00Z NAM update. All you gotta know. Ready for 60's and sun,

you best enjoy it. and that's probably aggressive. Tip: don't read point and clicks.

I'd take another 2-3" hit. Beggars, can't be choosers in this winter of discontent. Heck, could be the snowiest 4 day period of the winter.

never works that way.

^ nice

easy toss on those two. We are clearly in a pattern where storms should be on the models 5 days out. The fade does not occur until within 36 hrs.

If winter trends hold it will fade south and end up another wet dog turd duster. Mad town will see a few flurries.

how much did you get on halloween..? nice steady light snow here with good sized dendrites.....

SYNOPTIC SCALE SNOW WILL GIVE WAY TO SCATTERED LIGHT LAKE EFFECT SNOW (LES) SHOWERS LATE MORNING THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON. LATE THIS AFTERNOON, AND ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING, LES INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS INVERSION HEIGHTS RISE AND AN AXIS OF ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE SETTLES OVER NORTHEAST ILLINOIS. LES MODE (SINGLE STRONG BAND VS. MULTIPLE LIGHTER BANDS) REMAINS UNCLEAR, BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR A PERIOD OF HEAVIER LES EXISTS DURING THE EVENING FOR ORD/MDW, AND AFTER MIDNIGHT FOR GYY per lot aviation afd 12z

LOT not biting big on LES event for NE Illinois. Perhaps 1-2" down from a quick gaze. May get that 2-3" yet...

I'm probably the last guy to ask. But trusting a short term model that suddenly pulled that type of swing on a lake event is far from certain, I'm hoping to get 2-3" out of this whole event.

if only....

that's early. dry wedge busted...overachiever on the way.... edit: dust here also.

I see LOT's PM Zone forecast for some WWA zones is forecasting accumulations of 1"-5". Quite the spread.

my bar is low

decent overnight runs to put my area back in the game. Not an overly impressive event for anyone. If the lake could get cranking could be a decent event for NE Ill folks.

not going to get there...if I can pull 2-3" out of this current cluster _ _ _ _ I'll take it and run. Fully, expected a shut out on tonight's runs..I see a glimmer of hope

and were back...partly

a combination of both. Had to wonder over here after the gut punch from today's models....

If you consider yesterday's 12Z runs put us in the game for 6+ with Lake enhancement, and we looked good until today global's came in at 12Z which worked us back to a 1-2 incher it's been quite the 24 hours of model watching.

he'll probably hit 3.1 on the button.

talk about coming apart like a cheap suit.