Baum

is it me or does the 12Z NAM have the golden track for Chicago?

^ what he said.

that run didn't even look good for Ohio. All you can hope is a blip. But we have seen this happen time and again over the past few years so I get the skeptics. On the plus, this has not been modeled as a huge hit for Chicago since last Thursday so an inch or less from 3" isn't a nightmare. I'll always be an optimist. And the pendulum will eventually swing back. Always, does.

the recent april and may snowfalls have made me realize sun angles mean little in real snowfalls. Besides sun angle begins increasing on the first day of winter.

looks like they gave him the script and said not to stray.

he doubled his totals from yesterday. Consider him on board the hype train.

appetizer.

looks like winter out the window and storm tracking on a late January Sunday. Life as it was intended.

you keep your guard up until it's on the ground. It's weather believe nothing until it happens.

maybe we go positive trends 2 days out vs, negative. One can hope.

improvement to the amateur eye

in these times that's buried.

yep. certainly much more backside snowfall over a good sized area.

looks good.

don't forget it was the first run of the NAM in range that showed the 12/22-23 event was going to fail. And yes, can be chalked up to the blind squirrell theory but it did happen.

did you just copy and paste this post from each of the past 5 winters?

Consensus track starting to form with the operationals anyways. Not been a good trend for MBY on the past two runs. The naysayers maybe right again. At some point, we need to reverse the SE progressive slider curse. Still time. Heads to Michiana or Ohio I'll be headed that way mid week.

it's never easy.

my thread just got street cred. Thank you.

IZZI concurs. I'll have to wait for the next crew to come in and throw out his roque forecast to counter in the morning.

heads back outside to play jarts to nail it down

You can't make this shiat up. From the current MKE AFD: (ISSUED 221 PM CST FRI JAN 20 2023) TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND: A QUIET STRETCH OF WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR SOUTHERN WISCONSIN THROUGH THU WITH INCREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TUE THROUGH THU WILL FEATURE MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES, PLEASANT TEMPS AND COMFORTABLE DEW POINTS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. THE LONGWAVE PATTERN FEATURES A WESTERN RIDGE AND EASTERN TROUGH WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES IN CHECK WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80 WITH LOWS MAINLY IN THE 50S WITH LOWER 60S CLOSER TO THE LAKE. THE NW FLOW ALOFT WILL ALSO ALLOW MULTIPLE SHORTWAVES TO TRACK ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE FIRST WILL BE PULLING AWAY FROM SW WI TUE AM AND SHOULD HAVE MINIMAL EFFECT OTHER THAN MAYBE SOME DECREASING CLOUDINESS THROUGH THE DAY ON TUE, ESP ACROSS SW WI. THE NEXT WAVE PASSES W/SW OF THE AREA LATE TUE NIGHT INTO WED. THE GFS IS CONSIDERABLY STRONGER WITH THIS FEATURE, BUT AGAIN, ANY IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED TO AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER ACROSS SW WI. I guess Palm Tree dude was right.

it's when the storm is on your doorstep he'll rain on your parade again with annie lenox. It's called build 'em up to tear 'em down.

it's not gone yet.

we're due. Hope springs eternal.