Baum

Izzi about to bust to tame on his call.

" THEN CONDITIONS COULD BECOME VERY BAD. REASONABLE WORST CASE SCENARIO WOULD INCLUDE A PERIOD OF INTENSE (THUNDER?)SNOW WITH RATES >2"/HOUR (WHICH WOULD BE HEAVY ENOUGH TO ACCUMULATE ON ROADWAY), EXTREMELY LOW VISIBILITY, AND CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED WIND GUSTS OVER 40MPH. THE HEAVY, WET NATURE OF THE SNOW WOULD LIKELY STICK TO TREES WHICH ARE STILL LEAFED OUT WITH STRONG WINDS LIKELY DOWNING TREES LIMBS AND POWER LINES " I love it when IZZI goes rogue. Caveat:"THERE ARE A MANY UNCERTAINTIES AND POTENTIAL FAILURE MODES," Wonder who the next Met in the office gets to unravel "The Full Izzi" ?

"FOR ALL INTENTS AND PURPOSES, MONDAY'S WEATHER COULD EASILY BE A FORECAST ANY GIVEN DAY IN JANUARY!" - IZZIED sadly 40 degrees with a chance of flurries is not my idea of a great January day.

under the radar bust. LOT's Freeze Warning. Didn't appear to be close. Growing season continues....

The BAM map looks more like a layout of each snowfal that fell in the LOT area last snowfall season. Minus the overdo in Mchenry county.

well, than they can't go wrong.

mumbo jumbo. If you could piece 5000 words together without actually saying anything of substance or commitment this fakecast stands out as brilliant.

1. Models show a Oklahoma hooker 4 days out. Complete model consensus for my back yard. 2. As the hooker organizes in the desert southwest an energized clipper rides down and lays a 4" blanket of powder down and storng winds from N-NE usher in arctic air. 3. In clippers wake on going snowshowers blow in from Lake Michingan. 4. 48 hours out all models consensus 12"-18" swath of 15:1 ratio snows with winds in excess of 35 mph sustained. 5. 24 hours out complete model consensus on a blizzard. Consensus so strong no board arguments as a my backyard as the lollipop is a lock. 6. Blizzard warnings issued. Snowshowers begin to increase off lake as storm intensifies over Texarkana. Kansas City already shut down due to 5 hours of 2" per hour rates and thunder and lightning. 7. Gametime. Radar lit. Winds howling. Businesses closing in preparation. Snow begins in earnest. 8. After 12 hours of non stop snow/wind/ thunder 19" has fallen citywide. Drifts 5-6' in areas. 9. Complete forecast verification. High spot downtown Chicago with 26" amounts due to lake enhancement. Mchenry County and Cedar Rapids IA are the lower end of the spectrum with 4" and 6" respectively. Mets can't explain the phenomenon. 10. As the storm winds down, another organizes over Colorado.

^Here'a hoping your next post regarding a dusting of snow is not January 16th, 2023.

heavy rain and wind non stop boomers. A fitting farewell to summer.

lightning and thunder

it's early, but winter thread has been tame. I'll help. Has anybody seen JB's call for the winter? Cold and snowy or Vodka Cold with record shattering, roof collapsing , retina burning eye blinding repeat blizzards commencing on the Thanksgiving Holiday? Caveat snow holes in Cedar Rapids, IA and Mchenry, IL. Carnage all around.

money. passed out as the storm rolled in.

just cracked a leinies oktoberfest....thinking it'll be straight whiskey in a few hours once bears/pack kick off. I'm good with a miss south. Prefer to suffer through my azz whippings with the power on.

September heatwaves are grand. Nice, warm days, lower sun angle, and quick cool off in the evenings. Enjoy it while you can.

I was recently hired as a consultant by a national snow and ice management firm. I had been out the industry since 2014. Karma will be real. For you Iowa peeps, excuse my avatar. I did not mean to be offensive.

it's a beautiful thing. Poured with electrification and cracking thunder. Trees barely twitched. My type of storm.

nice soaker developed.

spectacular.

backbuilding. Looks like it is exploding off to my east. Can hear and see the action, just not in it.

dud.

ATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE, IL 1122 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2022 UPDATE ISSUED AT 1120 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2022 MAIN UPDATES THIS MORNING WERE TO DECREASE CLOUD COVER, INCREASE HIGH TEMPERATURES, AND FINE-TUNE PRECIPITATION CHANCES.

cloud cover would be key I would think

yeah. bizarre. on the patio with mainly clear skies and got constant cloud to cloud flashes of lightning at very low levels like a shadow effect from the storms off to my east. May have never experienced that before.

^ yep. dust bowl fail. In the end, pleasant with just enough moisture to keep things from browning out.