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Baum

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Everything posted by Baum

  1. if your model watching a storm 5 -7 days out in early to mid December in such a changeable pattern and thinking they are on to something, good luck. At this point, I just look for a consistent storm signal somewhere on the models with an influx of cold and gulf moisture. I'll worry about the track later. It'll probably bury Paducah.
  2. keep it in stock. You'll need it until May.
  3. the step down with regular precip chances setting the stage for a Big Dog around mid month that will pull in the real cold. Expecting a Cold and White holiday season this year.
  4. New low. Posting digitally generated forecasts on here from an app and acting like it matters. Someone help.
  5. Looking good. When a dude that just posts random maps incessantly gets an audience karma will step in, always.
  6. To change our December doldrums we need these convoluted patterns to break our way: QUITE A BIT OF DIFFERENCE AMONG THE MODELS THURSDAY ONWARD WITH TIMING/PHASING/LOCATION DIFFERENCES BUT THE PATTERN APPEARS TO BECOME MORE ACTIVE FOR THE LOCAL AREA. CHANCE POPS FOR MANY PERIODS LIKELY WARRANTED FOR NOW BUT CHANGES, PERHAPS SIGNIFICANT TO TIMING, CAN BE EXPECTED WITH LATER FORECASTS.-LOT do it.
  7. amateur viewpoint. I think this is good. From small things,good things come. beat ya too it ww.
  8. this supports my early morning thoughts that warren weenied.
  9. Equal chances that NOAA outlook is good through 12/10 and is wrong thereafter. Steady build to cold and than the snow chances begin to increase thereafter. A real December is in the offing...
  10. you're thinking something the GFS shows 12 days out doesn't occur?
  11. I didn't say it,he said it: "TRENDED THE FORECAST DRY SUNDAY NIGHT, WITH CHANCE POPS REASONABLE MONDAY-MONDAY NIGHT, THOUGH UNCERTAINTY WITH TYPE. A BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL AIR MASS SHOULD ARRIVE ON TUESDAY, WITH THE REST OF NEXT WEEK CURRENTLY FAVORED TO BE COLDER THAN NORMAL. SIGNS AGAIN LEANING AWAY FROM ANY BIG PRECIP PRODUCERS,"- Castro
  12. I'm stocking up on canned goods. The Buffalo event was a shot fired.
  13. finish the leaves and put up Christmas decorations. Nice timing to be sure.
  14. woke up to covering of white on all surfaces. We have officially put the "the pavements still to warm " caveat to bed pre-Thanksgiving this year. The table is ready.....
  15. question, is Mayfield hts, OH susceptible to lake effect snow off of Erie?
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