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Baum

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Everything posted by Baum

  1. Chicago was lucky.Went from John Coleman to Tom Skilling. Coleman of course later went on to help create TWC. He also was the only met to forecast the Chicago Blizzard of 1979. Official forecast was 2-4". Watched his 10 pm forecast that night when he was forecasting a blizzard with over a foot. I thought he was crazy.
  2. I'd call and talk to Tom Skilling. He always took my calls. Fact.
  3. looking forward to the Sunday-Tuesday period.
  4. The climate changer will be posting on a limited basis.
  5. A day or two of 70's on the warm side of a spring cyclone followed by snow on the backside is far from unusual in these parts in early March. Please note: "Chicago had multiple days of 70°F or higher in March 2024, including a record-breaking number of days for so early in the season. " Cred. shot.
  6. remember it well. That was supposed to be well north and west and trended surprisngly south and east.
  7. There is almost always a threat for a March event, and many years April. The good news, is it's usually gone shortly after. Heck, my son was born April 2 1993 and my wife April 14,1961 and it snowed on both dates. Though it was 56 on December 10,1990 when my other son was born. Amazing, how a weather nut can always know the weather on key dates in their life. Regardless, once March hits I'm ready to turn the page these days,
  8. 1925 i believe...the Tri State Tornado through Mo/IL/Ind may topit
  9. my bad. I forgot there was a watch issued for that. age a bitch. False alarm climate changer.
  10. Has Chicago even had Winter Storm Watch this season? Now that's a stat the Climate Changer needs to be on. I don't think I've experienced that.
  11. or decade. I am ready for spring once we hit March.
  12. long duration couple of inches looking more likely...if lucky.
  13. relying on the ukmet might not have been a winning strategy...in retrospect.
  14. Fair assessment by LOT: WHILE FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS STILL VERY LOW FOR HOW THINGS WILL EVOLVE SATURDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY, A FORECAST SOLUTION THAT APPEARED TO GARNER AN INCREASED AMOUNT OF SUPPORT AMONGST THE BROADER 00Z GUIDANCE SUITE IS ONE THAT INCLUDES A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING EARLIER AND DEEPENING AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD SOMEWHERE NEAR OR NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. IF A MORE "WOUND-UP" SOLUTION LIKE THIS WERE TO VERIFY, THEN A SWATH OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL COULD AFFECT A PORTION OF OUR FORECAST AREA, THOUGH THE LOCATION OF WHERE THIS HEAVIER SNOW OCCURS VARIES CONSIDERABLY AMONGST THE MODEL SOLUTIONS THAT HAVE IT. BUT AGAIN, THE COMPLEXITY OF THIS WEEKEND'S WEATHER PATTERN IS LEADING TO A GREATER DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY FOR OUR PRECIPITATION FORECAST THAN USUAL FOR A FORECAST THAT IS ONLY 24-48 HOURS OUT, AND GIVEN THE SHEER NUMBER OF POTENTIAL FAILURE MODES THAT EXIST FOR THIS HIGHER-END SNOWFALL OUTCOME, WOULD LIKE TO SEE SOME MORE CONSISTENT SUPPORT FOR THIS PARTICULAR SOLUTION BEFORE MESSAGING IT MORE PROMINENTLY.
  15. 4 am tomorrow he'll be the dream crusher. I've lived it.
  16. it'll happen when you least expect it.
  17. as they say, frosting on a turd.
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