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Everything posted by AirNelson39
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
AirNelson39 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Finished with .86” of 32.5 degree rain. There were models showing a lee side min right before the start of the event. Unreal.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
AirNelson39 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
*Only use models that show the least amount of frozen precipitation inside of 4 hours.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
AirNelson39 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Put a fork in this one for the foothills. Up to 32.9 and going between heavy and very heavy returns already over .4”- 970 replies
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32.4 and heavy rain is the ultimate middle finger. “But the models underestimate the cad” “it’ll be colder than forecasted” “just cut the zr maps in half and it’s still major”. Well it’s not the 90’s or early 2000’s anymore. We don’t win border line events in the foothills or NW Piedmont anymore. The ZR maps need a complete overhaul on all the models. The long term weather cycle for this area and winter weather is becoming an absolute joke.
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
AirNelson39 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
This is our lowest temp of the event.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
AirNelson39 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Nothing like heavy rain and 32.4 degrees. What a joke.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
AirNelson39 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
So it seems really doesn’t matter at the end of the day when the skies are clear and you get radiational cooling to start the night when clouds just instantly add 5 degrees. Might as well had the clouds move in whenever. No? 38.5/26.2 Winds 3-5 MPH ENE- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
AirNelson39 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Wow, up to 37.8/26.7 3 miles NE of HKY, this isn’t looking good for ice. I smell another major bust.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
AirNelson39 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Temp continues to rise, now 36.1/26 3 miles NE of HKY airport.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
AirNelson39 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Back up to 35.2/26.1 temps are on a kiddie roller coaster tonight lol- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
AirNelson39 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
That’s crazy! I’m in southern Caldwell east of 321 and I’m at 34.2/26.7- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
AirNelson39 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Down to 35.2/25 WB: 31 Winds have been out of the WSW- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
AirNelson39 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Was down to 36.5 in lower Caldwell around 7pm but have risen to 38.5/24 in the last 25 minutes- 970 replies
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Well we were dropping pretty well, were down to 36.5 but have risen nearly 2 degrees in the last 20 minutes.
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Temp is dropping decently in southern Caldwell but the dew points are making a noticeable incline.
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
AirNelson39 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Very good looking map and reasonable map- 970 replies
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44 here in Hickory. Not feeling it for this area. 31.9 degree rain won’t cut it. The trend for this winter will continue for foothills.
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
AirNelson39 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Must be nice, up to 41 here in southern Caldwell. Not too optimistic on this one. 31.5+ and rain won’t add up to much here. Hope I’m wrong and warmer trends are wrong. https://tempestwx.com/station/41819/grid- 970 replies
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Only got down to 25.9 here :/
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Just got a Tempest weather station here in southern Caldwell County. Excited to see the details with this borderline ice event tomorrow. Y’all can check it out here, https://tempestwx.com/station/41819/grid
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
AirNelson39 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
It was spot on with the placement of the heaviest precipitation but not so much the totals. I don’t put much faith into its ZR maps.- 970 replies
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February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat
AirNelson39 replied to NorthHillsWx's topic in Southeastern States
Not surprised, like clockwork and has been the story the this entire winter. Everyone should be prepared for power outages because that would be too dangerous to go conservative with it being this close but personally I don’t see anything more than a nuisance event for the foothills. I do want the ice however.- 970 replies
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Yeah I don’t get people like that. Great term for them though lol!
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Have a generator but before I did I also enjoyed being without power for a few days, something about no power from weather events is exiting.
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I’d love to see .5 of freezing rain here in Hickory but I just don’t see it happening. All the models have over done every single winter event this season here. I see us getting a couple hours of 31 degree freezing rain then the rest of the storm 32-33 degree rain. I think we’ll be lucky to even see .1 in the Catawba, lower Caldwell, lower Burke, Alexander county areas. Looks to be a much better change along the border counties with temps around 30 much of the event. I think the trend of model accumulation/accrual maps over hyping storms in this area continues.