MorristownWx

Not major shifts at all. Mostly noise from icon. NAM is at 84. The consensus, at least for right now is pretty clear. Let’s not discount how good the model agreement is 4 days out. GFS will be another miss. ICON has been most erratic of all models. Again, we have pretty strong agreement on the models.

Sitting at 32, was really hoping today would have melted all the ice jams or at least last nights snow. May not do either.

If there is one bright side and this may be a stretch, most models started losing this yesterday, roughly four days before the storm so at least it wasn’t giving the allusion for days. As someone else commented, it was a couple of suites with big storms and I believe one 00z suites where almost every model jumped on board before they started losing the storm at different points.

We may not like the consensus, but we’re getting closer to it. There are obviously greater tragedies, but disappointing nonetheless. Enjoy your sundays!

Oh, I forgot to say. 2.27” may change slightly.

They stole it? Did you file a report?

Sure is, I always said that these boards should be mandatory reading for psychology majors and 1st years lol. My thoughts on NYC and points east being better suited in this set up remains and most (all?) models reflect that to varying degrees. I have my reservations sitting 30 miles west, but that could also be my slight conservative bias when forecasting for my area. as others have said, it’s about 4 days out from a potential storm and all the players there. How and when should start being ironed out over the next 36 hours or so.

Got locked out of my account because I forgot my password and wasn’t getting an email to reset. Decided to get a more accurate name to reflect location. Maybe the name change will bring us some luck formerly BoulderWx