wake4est
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Everything posted by wake4est
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Looking great at 31
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In this brief lull in activity I wanted to point this out. Regardless of what happens, this is remarkable consistency from 12/2 to today
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https://www.weather.gov/media/rah/briefing/NWSRaleighLatestBriefing.pdf see the link for better resolution
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They specifically mentioned in the afd that the NAM showed cold mid level layers and minimized a warm nose until later on. They cautioned clearly that things could be very different with minor changes.
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Rah as of 5:30
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RAH’s afd should please the Triangle greatly
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fv3 Kuchera Map through 60 EDIT: thru 66 add an inch to the totals
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https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/
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It's there on TT. Hasn't finished the run yet.
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Like I KNOW the non-Kuchera fv3 clown maps are unrealistic but they are just astonishing. Like old-school DGEX snow outputs. They make my eyes happy.
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Looks eerily like the 6z Euro
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WTVD for comparison
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Anybody have soundings across NC from the 6z Euro? Precip looks perfect for much of the state if all snow. I wonder how much is sleet.
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GFS has a finger of precip earlier at 30.
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NAM could be impressive....
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Weird I have no functional memory of that. Must have been really terrible for us.
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Found this on my laptop from one year ago today. Did anything become of this? I cannot remember what we were chasing.
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Dang the fv3 is robust with precip into Monday evening
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It's so juicy.
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I don’t get why the fv3 just did this
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LOL what
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2m temps increased by 1 or 2 on the NAM but the DPs are still way better than the GFS.
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sure
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Is the FV3 recognizing a stronger CAD than the old-n-busted GFS? If so that will be a nice upgrade in itself.
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Boom
