Very new to meteorology and forecasting, so I could be way off here, but based on the latest NWS Palisades storm discussion (via LOX NWS), I’m not seeing much of a strong western ridge signal that would slow down and organize our storm in the Northeast:
So from what I can tell, there’s some ridging out west, but not enough to really change the downstream setup for the NE. That might be why CMC/GFS keep showing the storm getting stretched and ejecting too quickly instead of digging in. The Euro seems to handle the SPV-southern stream interaction better, but with the overall -d(gradient) flow, it still looks like another fast-moving, messy system unless something shifts.
Does that sound right? Or is the CA forecast way too far west and early to affect what's going on over here next week? Still trying to get a feel for how these setups evolve. Thanks