anthonymm
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Everything posted by anthonymm
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I've seen enough. The pattern has sucked for years now. We couldnt get snow when it was cold and all the teleconnections were awesome, what makes you think we're going to get snow when its warm with shitty teleconnections.
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I think we're basically done in terms of snowfall this winter. I'd bet $100 central park finishes with <10" yet again this winter. Idc what anyone says about the 80s this current snow drought is wayy worse than anything we've seen before. Central park never got two back to back <10" winters, let alone three. We must have seriously pissed off the snow gods or something.
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The last decent winter storm. I'm not expecting any more moderate to significant snowfall for the rest of this winter, with niña rearing its ugly head. Another sucky <10" winter in the cards.
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I mean those who live close to the I95 (urbanites). Been an awful pattern for the coastal northeast.
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The phrase "only 6-12"" sounds so odd to hear in this era. We'd all die to get a widespread 6" event in this area nowadays.
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It's BECAUSE it was cold that it was dry. Havent you noticed the pattern in recent years is cold and dry or warm and wet. We're in a low snow period, dont expect precipitation if its <32, snow isnt allowed anymore.
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Well aware. I discovered I loved snow when I moved here so now its agonizing. Knowing I just missed the snowiest decade is like salt in the wound.
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Ah well I only moved to the area (came from a snow free place) in the early 2020s. So for me NYC doesnt feel like a snowy place at all.
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Yup if the next 3-4 dont end up each being in the 30" range the 2020s end remarkably snowless.
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Still much better than the current pattern. Of the five late 80s winters only one had <10", and two were in the 20" ballpark (one a little below, the other a little above). So I don't think it's an exaggeration to say the current snow drought is literally unprecedented.
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It’s a lower snowfall cycle than the 80s for NYC by quite a bit. About half of the 80s years had >20” of snow, and the mean was just under 20. Our mean for the 20s is literally about 12” as you can see in the post above.
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Why would that be nuts exactly? It’s happened the last two years and I don’t think that’s mere coincidence. It’s a suggestion of the type of multiyear pattern we’re in. The coastal NE cities are largely taking a break from snowfall for the time being. Would be pretty surprised if central park ends up with even one more moderate snowfall event.
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We’re stuck in a very low snowfall pattern. No signs of appreciable amounts of snow later on. I doubt central park reaches 15” this winter. I would not be surprised if they dont even reach 10”.
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Yes Philly-NYC corridor was the suck zone. Tracks to our south, tracks to our north, suck zone here. I chalk it up to shitty luck honestly. If we dont score in February somehow this is gonna be another < 10" year for central park. For the record, central park had never had 2 consecutive single digit winters (22-24 was unprecedented), so if it happens again this winter the 20s are gonna easily exceed the 80s in terms of snow drought.
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Luck is something we really have not had. I mean come on New Orleans is about to have a higher seasonal total than us. That's nothing but terrible luck with the storm track.
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Hell of a bust. HELL of a bust. I recall nws saying there was a 98% chance of at least 2" in central park lmfao
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Looks we're locked in for a solidly below normal snowfall winter yet again. Cannot get the southern stream to cooperate and track a low up the coast. The arctic air is gonna completely shut down any chance of precip.
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@MJO812 GFS bullseye 10 days out means its not happening. See what happened last time.
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We could use a slight amount of SE ridging to our south. That’s one way to get the precip to slide up along the coast. Not a horrible look but its still very far out.
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@LibertyBell Yup I guess "reversion to below the mean" would be more accurate. Anyway I think another solidly below average winter is all but certain as of now, unless we pull off the impossible and get a KU somehow. I'm thinking around 10" or maybe even less for central park this winter.
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20 straight days of cold anomalies followed by a cutter. Only we could pull this off. Wonder when we’ll finally stop reverting to the mean so hard and get a winter with >20” of snow.
