anthonymm

It’s a lower snowfall cycle than the 80s for NYC by quite a bit. About half of the 80s years had >20” of snow, and the mean was just under 20. Our mean for the 20s is literally about 12” as you can see in the post above.

Why would that be nuts exactly? It’s happened the last two years and I don’t think that’s mere coincidence. It’s a suggestion of the type of multiyear pattern we’re in. The coastal NE cities are largely taking a break from snowfall for the time being. Would be pretty surprised if central park ends up with even one more moderate snowfall event.

We’re stuck in a very low snowfall pattern. No signs of appreciable amounts of snow later on. I doubt central park reaches 15” this winter. I would not be surprised if they dont even reach 10”.

Yes Philly-NYC corridor was the suck zone. Tracks to our south, tracks to our north, suck zone here. I chalk it up to shitty luck honestly. If we dont score in February somehow this is gonna be another < 10" year for central park. For the record, central park had never had 2 consecutive single digit winters (22-24 was unprecedented), so if it happens again this winter the 20s are gonna easily exceed the 80s in terms of snow drought.

Luck is something we really have not had. I mean come on New Orleans is about to have a higher seasonal total than us. That's nothing but terrible luck with the storm track.

Hell of a bust. HELL of a bust. I recall nws saying there was a 98% chance of at least 2" in central park lmfao

Looks we're locked in for a solidly below normal snowfall winter yet again. Cannot get the southern stream to cooperate and track a low up the coast. The arctic air is gonna completely shut down any chance of precip.

@MJO812 GFS bullseye 10 days out means its not happening. See what happened last time.

We could use a slight amount of SE ridging to our south. That’s one way to get the precip to slide up along the coast. Not a horrible look but its still very far out.

@LibertyBell Yup I guess "reversion to below the mean" would be more accurate. Anyway I think another solidly below average winter is all but certain as of now, unless we pull off the impossible and get a KU somehow. I'm thinking around 10" or maybe even less for central park this winter.

20 straight days of cold anomalies followed by a cutter. Only we could pull this off. Wonder when we’ll finally stop reverting to the mean so hard and get a winter with >20” of snow.