Yea's its kind of crazy how the holiday warmup is always a lock now. Pattern has been for several years now impressive cold early to mid december, and then a guaranteed 60 degree cutter some time around christmas or new years.
3" works as well (95% success rate) but yeah gonna need to see just a dusting more before the park officially gets 3". Would really not take much at this point lol
Temps overperformed big time before. When I saw it hit 40 in central park I knew there was no way they'd cool down fast enough to have numbers like 4-5" verifying. Cpark needs an arctic antecedent airmass well below 32 for forecasts to verify now...