anthonymm
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Posts
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About anthonymm
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we havent had a single nw trend this winter. they go south and they stay south.
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Damn what did delmarva do to deserve such a badass winter ? They're out-snowing Albany !
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yup sorry misremembered the storm. meant to use boxing day as the example where it DIDNT happen. regardless if u go back and look at most serious KU's the ones which were OTS over and over at a small lead time are the clear minority.
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It happens plenty of times. Dec 2010 was locked in, 2016 was really really locked in. The examples where they lose it completely ots for multiple consecutive runs like presidents day or something are rarer
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Welp, shitty trends today. Unless they reverse by tomorrow it's over. Can't get a nice solid ridge over the rockies to save ourselves.
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I was extremely incorrect. Too jaded from the past lol. It seems like we might make out decently this winter. Next storm looks like it's trending NW
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This was a lesson in not trusting ensembles. Models failed epically. You can make a killing betting under 5" for february on the betting markets. Kalshi still thinks central park's gonna see 10" this month
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I wouldnt be so sure. nyc has a unique capacity to underperform in recent years.
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At least we know if we start as sleet it's over. No mysteries about the totals.
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Totally agree. I'm seeing a carbon copy repeat of Thursday. C-1" and then gross sleet. HRRR caving incredibly fast to NAM.
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That lines up nicely with the new NAM. Actually thats a bit too aggressive I think around 0.3" would be closer. We'll see later on today but I think deep down you know the naysers are correct.
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Looking at the recent nam this might be a bust forecast. I can see everyone south of bronx getting a trace to 0.1".
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Well not to brag but it is looking like I was right all along huh? Today's misses north and midweek misses south. There's a reason I call for low snow, we are in an epically unlucky low snow cycle. Cant deny it.
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idk what ur talking about nam 3k conus gives 0.9" verbatim for the city.
