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cleetussnow

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Everything posted by cleetussnow

  1. organic farming is about 30% productive vs. industrial farming. Organic is wholly unsustainable for the global population. Agree on the pollinators tho. thats effed up and a threat. the bugs are dying.
  2. yeah millions woops. I'll edit my post
  3. except the population is growing in excess of 8 billion. Yes we have new disease threats, and also ways to mitigate them, and increasingly so. Flawed argument dude.
  4. not even close. We used to die of tooth infections and scratches. A zit could kill you in the middle ages, nevermind poxes and malnutrition.
  5. Modern agriculture and global transportation are huge factors, You could argue industrialization began when humans began farming and genetically modify crops through selective breeding thousands of years ago. Maybe a stretch, but populations started to take off then.
  6. It's an interesting point. There were constant severe and crippling famines prior to industrialization that wiped out entire cultures throughout millennia of human history. Humans/homo sapiens tend to be less prosperous and less prolific during cold periods, and more prosperous during warm periods, and it's never been more the case than right now. In fact, you could argue that the climate prior to industrialization was hostile to human prosperity, and that industrialization mitigated climate hostility to an extraordinary degree. Humans have proved adaptable and resilient (there was a point in deep history where there supposedly less than 10K of our ancestors remained for example), so we will likely manage earths heating until the next Milankovitch cycle set to kick off in about 10 to 15 thousand years from now. Ice ages tend to be killers, so that is a bigger threat to humanity vs. the CC now - nothing grows on ice. Then we have about 500 to 750mm years to survive through until the earth becomes entirely uninhabitable by any life forms due to the sun's increasing size and radiance. It will boil off the atmosphere and oceans, etc. Life on earth will only span about 1/3 of it's history. The only thing that will get mankind through these events is even more extraordinary technology - including interstellar type stuff. None of the rocks within the Kuiper Belt will be options. So in terms of climate, the long term prospects for humans depend on getting through the forthcoming ice age cycles (there are dozens remaining before the curtain closes) and then getting off this rock. By comparison, agio climate change affects are a mere river crossing. It may be that industrialization and technology are the only way humans would ever stand a chance long term, so it's like a catch 22. Of course, any number of things can wipe us out in the meantime - disease, nuclear war, a space rock, incredible volcanism...I worry more about those esp. for within my lifetime, remote as some of them are. Good luck!
  7. Depends how much co2 and water vapor these guys vent into space this week. I guess
  8. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-14536433/Six-hurricanes-smash-US-forecasters-warn-blockbuster-season.html Let the hype begin
  9. Looks like leaching of some sort - but that it only happens with snow is odd. Maybe somehow the snow and frozen ground surfaces it.
  10. Saw an article about a new AI weather model: “Aardvark reimagines current weather prediction methods, offering the potential to make weather forecasts faster, cheaper, more flexible and more accurate than ever before,” ”Tests of the Aardvark model revealed that it is able to outperform the United States national GFS forecasting system using just 10 per cent of the input data, leading researchers to say it could offer a “revolution in forecasting”. If you just want better and cheaper than the GFS, you can use a dart board. Darts are pretty fast.
  11. Yeah! Same as the cold all winter. Never happened.
  12. Solar isn’t a solution up here for many, especially NYC dwellers. Like at all. The nuke plant worked great. Now we have an extension cord running up to a waterfall in another country for power. Which by the way the Indians up there want to shut down. Sacred fishing or some shit. Risk management office derelicts in NYC.
  13. Hahaha. We both read Cormac McCarthy I guess. I skip the big words tho.
  14. Boy I have seen this happen numerous times on seasonal roads turned sled trails. Always amusing - usually a hefty groomer had to go in there and make the recovery. I always laughed at these dumbass rookies everytime…. …until it was me. Tug Hill - all backroads are snow covered all the time in good winters so hard to discern in many cases whats a seasonal road turned trail and whats plowed - you have to just know. I had me and my kid and a buddy along on the trip, one sled on a single place trailer. The truck was a 2000s vintage explorer. We were on our way to a remote bar/motel/sled rental to grab a rental sled. Made a left turn according to GPS and shit here we go! Instantly knew I had just made a galacticly stupid mistake apparently sitting on my brain at the time. I just kept my foot in it and squirreled around the trail in 4x4 and jesus h christ we made it the 1/2 mile to the bar to this day I have no idea how. Moderate ruts on the trail. Sleds saw us on the trail just shaking heads but no one saw us pull in to the parking lot (easily accessible from another direction). We sheepishly and quickly unloaded, grabbed the rental and split on the sleds, abandoning the truck. We were staying at another hotel about 50 miles away which I was glad for. Came back to the truck a few days later and hightailed it outa there feeling dumb as shit - more than normal anyway. Red face went away a week or so later. sidebar - in the middle of nowhere sometime later, my buddy lost the key to his rental sled. We were properly fucked. I lost it. Exploded to 11 blind with rage. Melted right down. Then I opened the cowl, looked at the ignition, unplugged the key connection (like a 5 prong plug), rotated it 180 degrees leaving one prong outside of the ignition plug, prayed, then it started right up. Jubilation. Polaris 600 from the 2000s. Key was useless, and thank the almighty for his interventions looking over our dumb asses that day. No other explanation.
  15. For people knowledgeable about air traffic delays etc. for tomorrow due to winds - I got a kid flying in tomorrow at ~7 PM to LGA. Winds aloft (850) look stiff, around 40kts at that time, but 10M winds are down to around 10ish - seemingly a lull between overnight/morning winds, and the wind again picking up Saturday. Any threat in terms of delays with these conditions? Winds are out of the west n. west. it appears. Appreciate any thoughts...
  16. No models show anything, so thats a good sign.
  17. At least the wind chimes will offer some useful information
  18. GFS is a dartboard past day 5. I think it led on one single (minor) event this season.
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