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cleetussnow

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Everything posted by cleetussnow

  1. cleetussnow
    @Typhoon Tip says Miller D, maybe like a hybrid, A's aren't really phasers but I say A. A storm emerges from the Gulf with plenty of power is my argument.
  2. cleetussnow
    It was soo stable for a few days too
  3. cleetussnow
    just need to catch the phase. Not so easy but what we want to see rn
  4. cleetussnow
    Honestly there are too many variables for my pea brain to digest. Someone might have knowledge here and I'm sure @Typhoon Tip has given this thought.
  5. cleetussnow
    I wonder how model statistics handle false positives. Like you said - right for the wrong reasons. Its a pestilence in finance.
  6. cleetussnow
    I’m already through 2 tons of wood pellets. I’m not going to make it with 5 unless we blowtorch a couple of weeks which can happen. I used a touch of oil but thats fine since oil isn’t super expensive. Pellets rather expensive covid compared to so I’m not saving all that much anymore.
  7. cleetussnow
    Tomorrow we will know despite what todays runs show, though we could whiff all the rest of the way since the runs last night. 18z yesterday - like I said, is probably the last run with a coastal we see. I’m not out yet, but within the next 28 hrs I’ll know one way or the other.
  8. cleetussnow
    Not this set up. Taint maybe. Inland runner not happening.
  9. cleetussnow
    125 miles. All we need for the metro
  10. cleetussnow
    Tuesday is the definitive day.
  11. cleetussnow
    Discussed with Will. I thought we don’t get a lot of As. But he points out we actually do, they just miss a lot. Tip says its not an A really. Semantics, but playing with fire with this set up like any A. Give me a bog standard B anyday over this.
  12. cleetussnow
    I’m going GFS Euro all the way. Nothing else until mezos and even then no nam
  13. cleetussnow
    Wheres @Typhoon Tip
  14. cleetussnow
    Close enough to still be in the game. We’re down a couple runs. Rains off the table at least.
  15. cleetussnow
    Eh. Not the worst Doesn’t get up here. We get touched/fringed. Dc storm. Big storm, but not here.
  16. cleetussnow
    Yeah this one’s going OTS as well. I am thinking the 18z gfs was the last holdout.
  17. cleetussnow
    Just stay with gfs and euro for now, special attention to ensembles until, say tuesday. Phase or not to phase. That is the question for the next 2 days or so.
  18. cleetussnow
    Hell yes
  19. cleetussnow
    Pats will get a good pick in the 26 draft. They don’t want a QB this year anyway but they could have traded down. Winning was dumb.
  20. cleetussnow
    Go Bills
  21. cleetussnow
    Deeper to sharpen the trough?
  22. cleetussnow
    Well we will literally witness the phase but wednesday so
  23. cleetussnow
    I never understood the argument for rain. If anything, this was going wide right and thats like 80% of the op solutions the last week or so. It’s really 2 options. And yes, we haven’t had 4 cycles of any one model showing a hit. All typical model cinema right now. Storms can and do come and go, only to come back. Boxing day did that for example. Not saying thats what we got here, but it happens. If it doesn’t re emerge by Tuesday 12 then we whiffing imo.
  24. cleetussnow
    Map?
  25. cleetussnow
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