BristowWx

You are asking me? Wag 3-5 just north 4-6 central 5-8 south. My house 2-4 inches of tears. I do think the storm will be a tick further north but not enough for anything meaningful above EZF. 1-3 there with more in Spotsy less in Stafford. This is a sharp cutoof storm and hallucinations of its coming north will fun...until they are not fun. You’ll be shoveling I think.

SW VA and the NC/VA border this will be historic. Might not see this type storm again in Dec for 50 years. Gotta appreciate this even if we whiff

If you said N KY maybe. Let’s see how it plays out. Just for laughs.

Sure. It’s all on the table. I think I will be looking at clouds heavy at times high 37 winds NNE at 3..then later that night decreasing clouds heavy at times low 29

Bold for me...1-2”...ya lets see.

how many times have we seen the radar blossom to our north in MD when it was forecast not to snow past the Potomac river. Point is I can see a scenario where the northern edge will be a tick or two further than expected. EZF is tick one right now...we are tick 2. oh it wont be Snow heavy at times with blowing and drifting snow possible...but maybe something to spark a smile

You are overreacting. Of course the recent trends don’t look that good for you. They look better for update SC. Go figure in early Dec.

I actually think we, you and I, will see snow on Sunday and Monday. It just likely won’t be an HECS or the the others...mood flakes..I hope

Minor hit would be fine. This seems like all or nothing. Virga will be solid I think and then it will just collapse on itself toward the warning area.

FV3 will not deliver this run. Starting to see where this is headed with the better solutions being stronger low pressure. Tough pill to swallow but just might not be our event.

I think it will end up being just noise. Confluence looks stronger this run. Further north but a tick weaker. A wash is my call.

But it should be in this situation...west to east...if it snows in Winchester it’s snowing in DC for this particular north to south set up

My God that is painful snow map. But again it is wht it will be.

DCA: 11/11 BWI: 10/31 IAD: 10/23 RIC: 11/23 Tiebreaker: 2.8”

Your posts always sound like you are drunk. Don’t drink and post.

Yes

I don't think the Euro is apps runner. Looks well off Delmarva at 96

I expect the Euro to be snow in JAX..which would be great for them

It won't look that bad. Even I know that. It will look worse. 1998 bad. 2001 bad.

Right. The best. We can hope. Wait...hope is lost

The 0z runs will be brutal. Like really having the runs only virtually. Everyone is screwed. The storm will be so amped up it will be congrats Chicago. As long as New England gets screwed then I can die a happy man.

Ok. The 18z is going to come out soon. There will be heartbreak. It inevitable. Just pour a drink and prepare. We know how this show ends. SNE snowstorm. Book it.

we are due for a really awful model suite...like one where everyone says "well that was fun...see you next winter" and "what happened to the AK ridge...holy crap its gone" 0z and 6z was the warning shot across the bow....now settle in boys for some real incoming fire.

we can try I guess. The EPS was a big blow. Losing that means losing hope. I know it will get chilly on some days coming up. but if there is no threat of winter weather then its just wasted time and this is the type pattern that gives cutters and cold fronts. not even CAD really with no blocking. HP just slides away. we will see what 12z brings but few could argue the 0z runs were a step back in to a deep hole. we have been talking about what might be in 10 days for the last 10 days and now its 10 more days.

its awful...the 6z op today, the EPS taking away the higher heights around Greenland, the SER flexing again...yesterday was a tiny break from the constant beat down of this wretched winter season. absolutely nothing to be enthused about this morning. nothing to track and nothing even in fantasy land on the 6z...nada, zilch, zero,....its a giant terd show and we are the stars. like finally getting to WalleyWorld and seeing the "closed for repairs" sign.