BristowWx

One thing that has been fun..somewhat...is waiting to see what the model runs spit out...it’s not usually blue but it’s still interesting. And again it was always post 15 Jan where we needed to pay attention. That’s tomorrow. Strap it on and break it off is the best way to describe the upcoming pattern.

The block is quite evident on HH. Second rain event gone

You saw snow in N MD. I knew you would on it. Congrats. Things really collapsed south compared to 12z. Nice

Isn’t it just the fact that Canada was flooded with PAC air prior to the block? Yeah I know the PAC itself is crap but north of the border has been an inferno. Bad luck yes but is it fair to say that same pattern now but frigid source region would result in a colder outcome? Just random musings

990L and twin 1030H to the north. that could be a thump to get excited about

now hr 240 on the Euro...that looks interesting

yes. just need it a little further south by about 300 miles. I'm trying to figure out what the block actually blocked on that run. the primary made it into IL...the temps spiked to near 60 on hr 198. the HP retreated and was weak sauce to begin with. was that supposed to happen?

Do you think it..the op GFS...is right? I don’t think the op is resolving the block right now. Wishcasting. EDIT: CMC also looks similar.

18 here. So I win Captain Snowclimo

Remember when snow in Texas was a nice indicator of a NE moving system that would get us in the game.

We’re chasing south? And you live in the MA snowbelt region? Oh the humanity!

BWI: 13.7 DCA: 9.2 IAD: 14.9 RIC: 8.9 LYH: 12.2

I’m calling it too even up here. This event is the shovel of dirt in my 6ft hole. 19-20 will be rockin’

Nice choice in Gainesville. Been here 20 years. Grown a lot and we often do better with snow compared to Glen Allen. Except December of 2018 of course.

Your posts always sound like you are drunk. Don’t drink and post.

Yes

I don't think the Euro is apps runner. Looks well off Delmarva at 96

I expect the Euro to be snow in JAX..which would be great for them

It won't look that bad. Even I know that. It will look worse. 1998 bad. 2001 bad.

Right. The best. We can hope. Wait...hope is lost

The 0z runs will be brutal. Like really having the runs only virtually. Everyone is screwed. The storm will be so amped up it will be congrats Chicago. As long as New England gets screwed then I can die a happy man.

Ok. The 18z is going to come out soon. There will be heartbreak. It inevitable. Just pour a drink and prepare. We know how this show ends. SNE snowstorm. Book it.

we are due for a really awful model suite...like one where everyone says "well that was fun...see you next winter" and "what happened to the AK ridge...holy crap its gone" 0z and 6z was the warning shot across the bow....now settle in boys for some real incoming fire.

we can try I guess. The EPS was a big blow. Losing that means losing hope. I know it will get chilly on some days coming up. but if there is no threat of winter weather then its just wasted time and this is the type pattern that gives cutters and cold fronts. not even CAD really with no blocking. HP just slides away. we will see what 12z brings but few could argue the 0z runs were a step back in to a deep hole. we have been talking about what might be in 10 days for the last 10 days and now its 10 more days.

its awful...the 6z op today, the EPS taking away the higher heights around Greenland, the SER flexing again...yesterday was a tiny break from the constant beat down of this wretched winter season. absolutely nothing to be enthused about this morning. nothing to track and nothing even in fantasy land on the 6z...nada, zilch, zero,....its a giant terd show and we are the stars. like finally getting to WalleyWorld and seeing the "closed for repairs" sign.