BristowWx
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Everything posted by BristowWx
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I’m not looking for unseasonable warmth.
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Only seeing the Euro TT h5 maps it appears there is a strong cutter on 27 Nov. sometimes those can be good to shake things up.
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Maybe. I think Bob is right the mental bar was set too high...at least by me...getting used to BN temps, expecting to see snow flying and thinking it’s a disaster to see highs in the 50s when our average high is in the 50s. It’s not like we were going down hill in temps from here on through the 40s, 30s, 20s like we live in Maine. Time for a reality reset.
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This fella seems to be enjoying this way too much.
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It could always massively swing back. Just a couple of blips maybe.
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No, not you. It was all me. I will own that disaster.
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He has issues. Never liked him much. I put him on ignore.
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My mistake. It appeared like a stark deviation from the previous ensemble runs for the last week of November. Perhaps I was too focused on that week. Sorry about that.
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Roger It’s cool. It was just such a deviation from the previous runs it startled me as I got used to seeing BN temps and a nice looking h5 pattern. Thanks for the pep talk brother.
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Already visited, heard the pitch, got the free theme park tickets and purchased a timeshare. It seemed like a wise investment. Hope it’s a blip
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I found this GEFS run at 18z troubling. First run in a while to deviate from the idea of extended BN temps both 2m and 850 and a decent look at h5. Who knows.
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Those EPS looks are screen saver worthy. The date stamp is the only issue. If that said 12/24 it would be drool worthy. Having weenie fun right now.
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I can appreciate the ridge out west and trough in the East on the 12z op run for next weekend but it makes for a boring pattern save the seasonal temps.
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Can only see the EPS at 240 on TT but h5 again look good to me. Thanksgiving week should at a minimum not be a torch, I’m buying a turkey today.
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From this untrained eye I see nothing that troubles me at h5 on the 6z GEFS for thanksgiving week and beyond. 850 temp averages are BN.
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If the colors were not there it looks like a broad trough in the East and broad ridge in the west. East based zonal trough.
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On the totem pole of wisdom I am on the bottom...but if the EPS and GEFS show similar solutions inside 12 days then you have to pay attention. And hope and wish of course.
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I am banking that if the -NAO develops it remains stable for the LR. Sure why not.
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Not sure further south maybe further East...anyway That’s so far out on an op run I’m not convinced it can’t be better...or worse...or totally different....
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No you are not. I like that too... any weather outside partly cloudy is fun. I would take cold rain over sunny and 60 on Thanksgiving any time. I might be in minority on that one.
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I see nothing troubling on the GEFS at 6z just looking at 500mb. I am enthused.
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Its early in the season so plenty of chances upcoming. Lets just hope the advertised pattern in the ensembles materializes or boring cold rain will become a fixture in our lives. Happy Friday!
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18.2 when I left for work. 17 in the 29 battlefield. Not bad
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How did the EPS look long range?
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Well we probably don’t want too much blocking. I will take the cold and smile but snow is a much more delicate equation as everyone knows. Still this ensemble display shows some promise. We watch.
