And you’d think when that happens..if ever..then we would be frigid because the block is that strong giving JAX a HECS...but as modeled we are warmer than they are..will never happen but it’s bizzaro world type pattern.
True. But it would do nothing for MBY. It’s every man for himself in this game. Now if that storm marched up the coast and crushed us then I would permit such blasphemy
I must say Wonderdog that I didn't think todays 12z GEFS looked all that troubling. Not KU set up perfect but If I am seeing it right we never go much above normal temps and have windows below normal...that window looks cracked for NYE to maybe the 5th as WxUSAF says...since most of our winter weather comes in small windows most years anyway really cant complain...... assuming I am not off my rocker in looking at the most basic aspects such as 850 temp anomaly and h5 anomaly.
Word. You speak the truth. It’s no ones fault..we have some of the smartest LR guys on the board. It’s just the cycle we seem to be in. We can’t sustain a favorable high latitude pattern long enough and our winters are almost entirely reliant on it. The NE doesn’t need it. You know this of course so I am reminding myself.
I remember Xmas Eve of 83. My dad had one of those vans with the slider window. I opened it on the trek to north Jersey from south Jersey to my grandmothers it froze open and we all had to drive home 60 miles on the parkway that night with the freezer door open. Good times. It was 2F
Still see some weak wedging going on Xmas day. It’s become more pronounced the last couple days on the models. Keeping the real warmth at bay to our SW
That’s the part that worries me. We can get cold even really cold but establishment of cold is the long pole in the tent. Regardless, it’s nice to be at the stadium parked and tailgating ready for the game ...instead of being stuck in traffic.
Roger. My biggest take away from that run was there is cold around on our side of the planet if that is even nearly correct it’s real cold. So I am optimistic. If this was the cake we were baking that would be the flour.
And that h5 pattern looks to continue as the run progresses. That is a solid high up there. This looks really good to me. It should keep us cold if nothing else. I hope I am right about this enthusiasm