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bncho

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Everything posted by bncho

  1. There's no reason to be down about the 18z Euro IMO. Too many things in play for anything at all to be concrete like @psuhoffman and @CAPE alluded to. Nothing is anywhere close to certain until 24 hours until the event, maybe even less.
  2. saying that a 30 day MJO 8 is supposed to happen is like saying that the 384hr GFS solution is going to happen lol
  3. Right now, I'd say I'm fairly confident that DCA will get at least 1.1" of snow right now (assuming DCA doesn't do their normal measuring bullshit), making this December the snowiest since 2009!
  4. 18z NAM is more south and has similar QPF as 12z. Drops 6" just NW of Baltimore.
  5. I pay $30 a month for WeatherBELL for it not to load.
  6. this is for the panic room. we can't have bad energy anywhere else lol
  7. saw a few flakes. counts as a trace, lol
  8. the angle of the trough also kinda sucks. it barely gets its shit together in time so we get a neutral tilt but if we want it negative then we'd need it to slow down and dive SW
  9. Maybe I'll take a stab at a thread.
  10. I'm glad I stayed up. IMO excellent 0z suite. CMC and Euro trended south and GFS trended north. Euro AI also higher totals for everybody except @TSSN+.
  11. 0z Euro follows suit with the CMC by going more south; I think DC/Balt would like it. Also has more QPF
  12. the type of shit @SnowenOutThere feels when he creates the thread and gets the jack zone while the northern crew gets nothing:
  13. If the 12z suite tomorrow is good, then we should probably create a thread. The question is, who will create that thread?
  14. CMC pretty heavy band of snow in DC... probably an inch an hour?
  15. With RIC at 6", they could realistically get 1-2" on Friday and 2-4" on Sunday, and then they've overachieved climo. lol
  16. For the sake of most in this forum, if Fredericksburg gets half a foot of snow, blood will be shed.
  17. what would you say is "greatness"? 3-5?
  18. WeatherBELL just doesn't seem to want to work today. pivotal map down below
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