bncho
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Everything posted by bncho
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I think this is what @40/70 Benchmark was alluding to in his seasonal outlook—kudos to him.
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So how the hell did the euro ai go from the best outcome to the third best outcome???
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GEFS has a huge signal for Bob Chill, technically a shift south but our snow mean improves a lot as well!
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see at least for Feb 20 2025 the GFS wasn't on an island, it had the euro ai. now the gfs is on a fucking other universe where different laws of physics occur
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12z Suite Scoreboard >4" vs <4" scoreboard (Euro = 5, Euro AI = 5, GFS AI = 4, GFS = 3, CMC = 2, UKMET = 1, ICON = 1) DC: 5-4, more than 4" leads Baltimore: 5 - 4, more than 4" leads lets see what the euros do
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UKMET!
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lol at the CMC. imagine getting 2' of snow in the fuckin teens. lol
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FOLKS!
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CMC absolutely CAVED!!!!
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I completely forgot about the CMC lol
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GFS is a slight tick NW but the big thing I saw was that precipitation totals were almost doubled due to the Baja low moving slightly more east.
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Man that GFS was close... Maybe by 0z...
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GFS gets snow up into the region hr 126...
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The AI-GFS is like 8-12" of snow for us with no mixing issues whatsoever. Hell yeah baby.
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AI GFS more breathing room, no ice issues whatsoever. Good run!
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GFS AI is going to be less icy.. otherwise IDK
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Yeah, at hr 120 that baja low is having a hard time coming east
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ok, at 102 it looks like the baja low is stsaying back a little bit more? might help it show a more snowy solution instead of icy
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AI GFS looks pretty similar at hr 90.
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That's a fair point. I would say it's probably more of a gradient in that respect, and separating them into two different categories is likely an overgeneralization. Thanks for pointing it out!
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poor ralph doesn't know about the scoreboard system but knows about gooning
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12z Suite Scoreboard >4" vs <4" scoreboard (Euro = 5, Euro AI = 5, GFS AI = 4, GFS = 3, CMC = 2, UKMET = 1, ICON = 1) DC: 0-1, less than 4" leads Baltimore: 0 - 1, less than 4" leads
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It's a modest hit. Much better than 0z.
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Man, in a few years, I would absolutely LOVE for you to be my teacher. That would be amazing.
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Alright, Randy. Start us off. What's the ICON doing?
