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bncho

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Everything posted by bncho

  1. Mid-late January, 2022, I think it was too warm for most cities but interior NY and maybe even Boston got a lot of snow
  2. Just due to the seasonal trend, I would expect that -2 PNA to correct to around -1 to neutral.
  3. Dude you keep taking breaks but you help keep this place tolerable. You really gonna let Ji win?
  4. notice how you get more likes and less weenies when you post stuff like this? good job!
  5. I think next year will likely be a great year to test your theory.
  6. Late January IMO is a simpler setup. All we need is a wave to tap into the cold air and boom. It's also reassuring to see the AN precip anomalies over us and the TN valley; signals that the STJ should be more active.
  7. you're right, actually, h5 has been looking pretty damn good this winter (e.g. Jan 15 ULL) but those h5 looks aren't translating to the surface, where's it's often cold and dry.
  8. we're tracking rain/snow showers, even better
  9. lol its too bantery y'all. I agree with the doom and gloom and can kick and kick in the crotch but unless its weather related put it in panic thread or banter. thanks!
  10. At least January isn't entirely screwed. Ensemble snow means have been quite high.
  11. we don't yell and curse at you because you're negative, we yell and curse at you because you're annoying. good night to you as well
  12. Has that really been the case lately?
  13. It's a nothing burger. Peace out, y'all. I'll wait until tomorrow evening but I think this one might be dead.
  14. Of course. As our climate gets warmer it'll pave the way for more juiced systems. There will likely be a winter storm that far exceeds those types of storms in the next 15 years. After that, though, the climate will warm so much that any juiced up event will have the heaviest precipitation be rain, rather than snow. Then, no matter how juiced up the system is, we will not get those big winter storms, and would need an intense cold push to time up with a wave for 3-5", max 6-12".
  15. If climate change keeps accelerating, DC winters will start to look like winters in Columbia, SC. IMO we might have one more snowy period when the next +PDO phase occurs—just because of the warmer waters (and hence increased precip) it'll probably break tons of records, maybe there'll be a 3' historic blizzard. Afterwards, though, around ~2040, I dunno, man.
  16. Sorry. Reflecting on it now, my suggestion was probably too polarizing, and you’re right—it wouldn’t make people happy.
  17. Trying to make an analog set for next year, 14-15, 02-03, and 86-87 are in it.
  18. I wish we had the 2017 Euro. Good old reliable
  19. Okay euro is running. Good luck to us
  20. there should be a thread where only meteorologists and pro forecasters can post, view only for everybody else
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