bncho
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Everything posted by bncho
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5-10" for most
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interesting
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GFS will be hella close for the metros
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pretty lazy forecast on my part but here's what i put out for my school's discord trust ellinwood over me
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Jan 22-23 rings a bell from ten years ago...
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No? What big storm were we tracking before Jan 28? Jan 15 phantom that wasn't going to work?
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I thought Jan 27-31 was the big one, not Jan 23-25
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have patience. we're going to move to the 26-27 Nino that according to you will rival 09-10
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C-3", not bad
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I feel like that's directed at somebody but how should I know, I'm only 14
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Euro AI shows 1-2" for Jan 18
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what lunatic is driving?
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Yeah, GFS dropped 12" of snow over three storms. Just GFS stuff, though.
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Wow, thanks for all the compliments. You guys are wonderful!
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That looks similar to the January 6, 2025 storm, but that storm had a -NAO.
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GFS went from cutter to slider in one model run. Classic
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I'm in 9th, but thank you!
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A huge shoutout to @high risk for showcasing how the models really work. I really appreciated his posts about highlighting the importance of how this current base state is unpredictable, leading to volatile modeling, how outputs are calculated, and what data goes into the model to produce those outputs. It's been really informative and I hope he keeps doing such great work.
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SFC not that warm, though. Never really gets above 33 in DC.
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There's less positive tilt and the shortwave digs a little more. Not bad.
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RGEM isn't on an island, it's on a whole other planet.
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Apparently the 0z GFS has integrated new data. Here's what it is (found from SouthernWX) - Dropsonde data was assimilated from the recon missions in the Pacific.- The entire system is in a good spot currently (as of 00z) for good profiling by GOES-West satellite and Canadian soundings.
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but surface temps are kinda warm, yuck
