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bncho

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Everything posted by bncho

  1. bncho
    Getting a sense of the discussion over the last few days, isn't this setup a lot about timing (as is with lots of our other setups)? Correct me if I'm wrong, but we need the wave to a delay a little bit so it doesn't get strung out/suppressed, and we can't have it delay too much or else it turns into a cutter, right? It feels like we need to balance lots of these factors out.
  2. bncho
    Don't worry about it. Welcome to the forum! Our best poster is Rev War Reenactor. He has lots of expertise and makes well north of 150K!
  3. bncho
  4. bncho
    12z CMC thumpy thumpy
  5. bncho
    Radar looks absolutely nasty out west, I’m tempted to set an alarm. When might it start?
  6. bncho
    Holy shit indeed! That looks insane asf!
  7. bncho
    Extremely similar to 18z actually considering the lead time
  8. bncho
    The Euro AI will do it again, looks very similar to 18z
  9. bncho
    Gonna spend 30 minutes of my time reading this right now!
  10. bncho
    @GreyHat thinks it’s light QPF, paltry at best.
  11. bncho
    It’s a slop storm verbatim. Probably around 5-8:1 ratios. Temps are around 35-38 in the metros.
  12. bncho
    Temu Alexander Hamilton
  13. bncho
    2m temps for the storm are like 27-31 at the start of the event and 30-34 at the end, colder NW, warmer SE. And your original statement was that 0.5-0.8” QPF, which is a substantial amount. Obviously I’m over analyzing now, but look at the whole storm before making a statement like that.
  14. bncho
    10:1 is very similar to this btw
  15. bncho
    The snow makes the snowpack look like it just fell, hence the 5-8" reference.
  16. bncho
    DCA will report a trace, what more do you expect
  17. bncho
    Looks like a fresh 5-8”, with the fluffy snow covering the yucky spots and making the snowpack fluffy.
  18. bncho
    0.1”
  19. bncho
    legit mod snow now, some dendrites attempting to mix in
  20. bncho
    light-mod snow in Annandale
  21. bncho
    Can confirm SN- in Annandale.
  22. bncho
    Told y'all this would be a successful thread.
  23. bncho
    Maybe some of that EPS-AI snowfall output is sleet/zr or even 38 degree rain ?
  24. bncho
    12z GEFS is much better than the 6z GEFS
  25. bncho
    Now THAT was a solid 12z suite. It's been awhile since we've had one of those. Now we seal the deal with some eye-popping ensembles.
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