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bncho

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Everything posted by bncho

  1. SE DC loses thermals at hr 46, NW DC and burbs holding on...
  2. I think HRRR might lose thermals soon but if it holds out until the end of its run then DC gets 10"
  3. Sounds like a classic +PDO Nino February. Might be an epic stretch coming up.
  4. Thunderstorms, except freezing rain? Jeez that sounds like a nightmare.
  5. 9" of snow, then 2" of sleet and 1/4" freezing rain? That sounds like a very major winter storm. We're going to remember this for the impacts (ice) and its longevity due to the sheer frigid temps.
  6. It's wetter, there's like 0.1" more QPF than 18z
  7. The Euro is a major tick SE with the goods.
  8. y'all are impatient asf... post the pretty snow maps when it's done.
  9. Euro actually being wetter gives it quite a prolific thump!
  10. hey, this is my time to shine. i need to get a chance on the varsity team, man.
  11. Euro's up and running. Let's go nighttime crew!
  12. ok i said i bombed it but i never said i failed lol. yall are thinking i got a 25% or smth
  13. That would be a cool storm. I get 8" snow followed by 3" of sleet and 0.5" freezing rain. That would definitely keep me out of school the whole week as well.
  14. Here's what I'm thinking. In the upper levels, any difference in temperature can make a huge difference at the surface. A bust -0.25*C cold is probably an extra hour of snow before a flip to mixing, which is an extra 1-2". In these overrunning CAD setups it's harder to predict the upper level temps. There's more risk for those forecasts to bust.
  15. No worries! I come here to learn. If you correct me on things that I get wrong, that's more than fine with me!
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