bncho

yea bobby chill got 5" 10:1, nc/va border got 8" 10:1

OH BABY EURO AI!!!!

More diggy than 18z

Interesting h5 for the Euro AI

DC/Balt in the bullseye already , 0z vs 18z GEFS down below

GEFS more NW

another long week of tracking

Yes exactly. We were initially rooting for a phase out west quick but then it became too quick and too far west. I wouldn't have brought that analysis up here if I didnt think it had merit.

(I found this analysis on SouthernWX. @Terpeast @MillvilleWx @psuhoffman, any other mets, any thoughts about this?) "Just using the GFS for reference, I can go ahead and tell you this piece of energy that dives in out of the NW is going to be a lot faster than currently modeled. So that’s probably going to collide early with our southern stream wave which will cause more amplification. And let’s also assume our 50/50 will be scooting out quicker than modeled. Good chance this system is amplified and not nearly as suppressed and late as currently modeled. It’s virtually the same playbook again this weekend just happening a skosh further east with less chance to cutA non zero shot at a triple phaser as well"

that's like 1993 level low pressure

WTF is that CMC it's a non-moving 975 low jesus christ

Yea, pops a coastal and it'll be a valiant attempt

It's better than 12z.

much better,

Take us home for PBP, and take that umbrella out of your BF's hand.

I think 0z GFS looks better at h5 than 18z but I'm not sure. (thru 84)

12:1 ratios = 28" of snow!

You sound like Chuck.

Right where we want it.

Euro AI trend: More consolidated, closer to the coast!

Apparently it was showing something like the Euro AI was 5 days out

How do you access it?

McLean, VA 2025-26 Snowfall TOTAL: 14.1" November: T 11/12: T | Stayed up late hoping for something more substantial, but there were still some light flurries. 11/30: T | Morning snow/sleet mix changed to rain. December: 3.7" 12/5-6: 2.2" | The return of the mythical December 5th snowstorm. It brought extreme cold for early-December, with my high of 29. Included a nice little round two starting at 10 PM, not finishing until around 1 AM. R1: 1.9", R2: 0.3" 12/11: T | Scattered flurries in the morning. 12/14: 1.5" | A busted forecast (from 2-4"). 0.25" QPF fell as 1.5"—awful ratios. January: 10.4" 1/1: 0.1" | An early morning snow squall with strong winds. 1/17: 0.1" | A morning burst of snow accumulated to a dusting. 1/18: T | Three hours of afternoon flurries translated to a trace. The mulch was slightly whitened, though. 1/24-25: 10.2" | An awesome storm. Strong 5.9" thump followed by 10 hours of heavy sleet, which totaled 4.2". Snowiest winter storm since 2019; most impactful since 2016.

5.9" of snow, 4.2" of sleet. 10.1" total!

I don't know how you would tow 3' of snow...