bncho
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Everything posted by bncho
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ALL HAIL THE NAM (we're almost in NAM 3km range now)
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So the Euro and GFS have switched solutions such that the GFS gives us snow and the Euro doesn't because it goes to NC, but overall its the same look--gfs caves to the euro
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it seems like we've narrowed in closer towards a more unified consensus. two questions: is a dead ratter like 22-23 off the table, and is the ceiling higher than 24-25?
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my wag at next week, west has a better chance of accumulation (obviously) and South of DC is favored to see some flurries (if anything manages to happen there).
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on the bright side, however, 12z EPS shows a decent signal (albeit slightly less than last 12z), showing 29 out of 50 (58%) hits for at least one of the four airports.
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Do any of you think we could break the December snow drought, or will it just be cold & dry?
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we said that last winter, how did that turn out lol
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4.1" as a mean? Thats not bad at all!
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the terpeast storm
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2 days away until NAM range lol
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the earth is still intact man
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GEFS, like @NorthArlington101implied, is not buying it nearly as much. 10 out of 30 (33%) hits.
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Median on the 12z EPS (yes, the MEDIAN and not the mean) shows 0.3"!
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12z EPS has an incredible amount of hits (hits mean at least flurries at one of the airports of BWI, IAD, DCA, and RIC). 38 out of 50! (76%)
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king euro!
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12z Euro likes the idea of more than flurries.
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Would you be able to say that for the Mid-Atlantic, or is this only valid for New England?
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12-18"? Where is @Solution Man's "sign here" poster?
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now that would stick on the grass until sunrise.
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where is leesburg on that map? huh...
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talking about if we want any chance of snow east of the appalachians
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I'm starting to thing that this snow system depends a lot on timing. If it happens at say 7PM then temps will likely be too warm except for the upslope areas (around 40+), but if it happens at say 10PM then temps are more like 35... much more conducive for snow
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operational supports its ensemble, and temperatures were quite chilly (around freezing, even in dc), meaning that snow might stick lol!
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6z EPS (yes, this system is finally getting within the medium-range now), shows a total of 26 hits (at least flurries at one of the airports) out of 50 (52%), and lots of panels are still trying to snow on us! Very aggressive, but perhaps it's onto (or on) something?
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first call: BWI: 39.6" DCA: 27.8" IAD: 43.2" RIC: 15.9" ----- SBY: 17.1" a bunch of small to medium events with a big 8-16" that we've waited 10 years for
