bncho
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Everything posted by bncho
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Excellent analysis. I wonder why MJO 6 leans cold with -AAM… but thank you so much!
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BAM WX says that January -AAM/MJO 6 analogs since 1990 favor cold for most of the central and eastern US. Whether this is 100% true is questionable, but it's still interesting to note.
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just for you, ji
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southernwx
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from eric webb:
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@Ji they fixed the GFS for you
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18z GFS is EXACTLY what we need to watch out for in mid-late January.
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now THAT is an SWFE
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look at the end of that 18z GFS... MECS
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^^Return of the King
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The 12z Euro is pretty close to something for Jan 13-14. Too warm though for most places other than NYC and points NW, but it does flip over to snow on the back side for NW suburbs.
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lol no more torch jan 10 onwards awful performance from the ensembles past d10 and look how it corrects in 48 hours
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Models have had such a bias for warm in the east in the medium-long range that it's stupid to believe anything they say regarding warmth in the E US until it's within D5 (and even then they can shift i.e. boxing day 2025).
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really starting to regret this post after the last few days
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so it’s shit vs shittier lol
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This is actually a decently good observation. I’d urge caution with believing the models considering how poorly they’ve performed, especially with their warm bias. Shown below are the GEFS and EPS forecast biases two weeks out over the last 90 days (courtesy of @GaWx). That’s all you need to see.
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IMO its riduculous for you to have to be worried about people weenie-ing your post. i dont think you're trying to troll, you are just saying what you think. people can be in denial as much as they want lol
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you know the mood is kinda cooked if mitch is the new chuck lol
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watch @JenkinsJinkies weenie me for saying that it's rain lol
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its rain lol
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lol what is this? the ENSO thread? are yall trying to cosplay snowman19 and MJO812? you guys are dumb lol
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ok there's definitely a discrepancy between WB and TT and the Euro site. Something might be wrong with WB (or vice versa)?
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Pretty nice look IMO.
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0z euro meh. more like the GFS. what a dumb thread lol. who tf created this?
