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bncho

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Everything posted by bncho

  1. we said that last winter, how did that turn out lol
  2. 4.1" as a mean? Thats not bad at all!
  3. bncho

    Winter 2025-26

    the terpeast storm
  4. 2 days away until NAM range lol
  5. GEFS, like @NorthArlington101implied, is not buying it nearly as much. 10 out of 30 (33%) hits.
  6. Median on the 12z EPS (yes, the MEDIAN and not the mean) shows 0.3"!
  7. 12z EPS has an incredible amount of hits (hits mean at least flurries at one of the airports of BWI, IAD, DCA, and RIC). 38 out of 50! (76%)
  8. 12z Euro likes the idea of more than flurries.
  9. Would you be able to say that for the Mid-Atlantic, or is this only valid for New England?
  10. bncho

    Winter 2025-26

    12-18"? Where is @Solution Man's "sign here" poster?
  11. now that would stick on the grass until sunrise.
  12. where is leesburg on that map? huh...
  13. talking about if we want any chance of snow east of the appalachians
  14. I'm starting to thing that this snow system depends a lot on timing. If it happens at say 7PM then temps will likely be too warm except for the upslope areas (around 40+), but if it happens at say 10PM then temps are more like 35... much more conducive for snow
  15. operational supports its ensemble, and temperatures were quite chilly (around freezing, even in dc), meaning that snow might stick lol!
  16. 6z EPS (yes, this system is finally getting within the medium-range now), shows a total of 26 hits (at least flurries at one of the airports) out of 50 (52%), and lots of panels are still trying to snow on us! Very aggressive, but perhaps it's onto (or on) something?
  17. first call: BWI: 39.6" DCA: 27.8" IAD: 43.2" RIC: 15.9" ----- SBY: 17.1" a bunch of small to medium events with a big 8-16" that we've waited 10 years for
  18. when in doubt, go with the great Apple weather!
  19. thru Nov 13, 0z EPS shows a whopping 25 hits out of 50 (50%).
  20. thru November 13, 06z GEFS show 11 hits (at least flurries) out of 30 (37%). p30 looks cool as well.
  21. EPS snowfall panels.... 24 out of 50 (48%) give some part of the forum at least flurries thru November 14 (I count "some part of the forum" as flurries in at least one of the airports of RIC, BWI, IAD, and DCA). Maybe this thing does have a chance!
  22. Funnily enough, EPS has a not insignificant amount of members showing at least flurries. 9 out of 50 (18%) is NOT bad.
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