bncho
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Everything posted by bncho
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I'm going to assume that purple is nuking snow. What model is that anyway?
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Who's staying up for the 06z HRRR?
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wait wha-
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The Euro, GFS, NAM, and HRRR all give me 8+ inches.
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One more tick north from the Euro and the whole entire forum is ecstatic. DC bullseye with high ratio fluff in Baltimore and the M/D line.
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@Terpeastis FOR SURE more optimistic than 3 hours ago.
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I actually do. Swear on my life.
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Wow. The NAM shifted back south and is all snow for DC, HRRR looks great, GFS is all snow and is solid, and now the ECMWF is north (in terms of precip not the actual storm). A miracle of modern science.
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That'll hold as well. Gotta wait until 18z.
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@Terpeastis thinking about changing his forecast.
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Sorry, I misread the thing. For some reason my dumbass saw "in 3 hours" instead of "in 6 hours"
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2016 Blizzard snow rates.
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HRRR and NAM find a compromise. This is the greatest business deal ever!
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I think the Beltway sees 6-10" but you're the meteorologist here so I'm probably in denial.
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Great run from the Euro. I think everyone will be happy with that.
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I thought 5-8" IMBY and I'm still thinking that just because of the model uncertainity. Do you think more or less?
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I like 5-8" for my area. Not going too high or too low because of the model uncertainities.
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CWG goes with 5-8" for DC.
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It's not that bad. DC still gets a healthy 6-10".
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If that trends north this system turns from a messy (especially messy south of DC) 5-8" to a 6-12".
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We're only 36 hours from the onset of the storm and the models still don't know whether DC will be on the northern fringe, on the bullseye, or on the southern fringe. We need a good Euro run.
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Soooner or later the Euro will be doing that (in a more pronounced matter) and then we can all be happy.
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Looks like the heavier accumulations ticked north a lil bit. Looks like I'm not cliff jumping today.
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If the Euro stays where it is or goes south then we will all be in denial.
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Manifestation. I love it. Now for sure we can get 8-12" areawide.
