bncho
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Everything posted by bncho
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so much for my analysis, apparently it's cold and dry and I suck. talk to the meteorologists and the good posters if you want real analysis.
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Now THAT is a really good pattern.
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If a Nino happens next year it would be more likely to couple with the atmosphere, especially with it being at least moderate
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juiced up system at that golden timeframe of Jan 28 on the GFS, but it cuts. Nice to see a big storm consistently show up at that timeframe, though.
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That’s both a bad thing and a good thing IMO. On one hand it says that there’s not much of a chance, but on the other it says there’s still some significant potential with this system. Definitely still needs to be watched.
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I've been consistently saying that the tropical forcing in MJO 8-1-2 and death of La Nina will help with a more canonical Nino response into February and March.
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That's a massive signal considering it's 330 hours out.
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it takes one to know one
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this is why he was confused, guys.
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-EPO/+PNA actually leans dry, but it’s also a big dog pattern with that high-latitude blocking. With those AN precip anomalies in our region and the TN valley, I would be more inclined to think Jan 25-Feb 10 has big dog potential rather than cold and dry potential.
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He's definitely going to be one of the main forces that keep this place high-quality and relevant, no doubt about that. Ji is just a troll. But I guess the argument could be made that he makes AmWX, well, AmWX.
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Kick him out of the forum
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Mid-late January, 2022, I think it was too warm for most cities but interior NY and maybe even Boston got a lot of snow
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Just due to the seasonal trend, I would expect that -2 PNA to correct to around -1 to neutral.
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Dude you keep taking breaks but you help keep this place tolerable. You really gonna let Ji win?
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notice how you get more likes and less weenies when you post stuff like this? good job!
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I think next year will likely be a great year to test your theory.
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Late January IMO is a simpler setup. All we need is a wave to tap into the cold air and boom. It's also reassuring to see the AN precip anomalies over us and the TN valley; signals that the STJ should be more active.
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you're right, actually, h5 has been looking pretty damn good this winter (e.g. Jan 15 ULL) but those h5 looks aren't translating to the surface, where's it's often cold and dry.
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we're tracking rain/snow showers, even better
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lol its too bantery y'all. I agree with the doom and gloom and can kick and kick in the crotch but unless its weather related put it in panic thread or banter. thanks!
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At least January isn't entirely screwed. Ensemble snow means have been quite high.
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we don't yell and curse at you because you're negative, we yell and curse at you because you're annoying. good night to you as well
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Has that really been the case lately?
