bncho
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Everything posted by bncho
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THE EURO!!
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where the genuine hell are we finding these models
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ru drunk? or are you high because of the snow maps on your yard lol
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GFS slight tick north
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NAM is very good. Not as good as 6z, but if I get 2" I'd be ecstatic.
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If that does happen, congrats. You deserve your snow, and since it won't affect school too much, I wouldn't even be salty.
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0z Euro shifted SE. Bottom line is that we have no idea what will happen, other than the fact that it will likely snow somewhere along the I-95 corridor
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Blend the Euro and GFS and i'm happy lol
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Few takeaways that I've taken from this forum today: 1. There will likely be some banding that will set up somewhere around 30 miles east or west of the I-95 corridor, we probably won't know where exactly until right before the event - Likely will be 1-3" for most areas. Locally 4"+ is possible depending on where banding sets up 2. Guidance seems to generally like Baltimore up to Philly for the highest totals 3. I don't think the south will win again lol
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There's no reason to be down about the 18z Euro IMO. Too many things in play for anything at all to be concrete like @psuhoffman and @CAPE alluded to. Nothing is anywhere close to certain until 24 hours until the event, maybe even less.
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12/12: The little Friday clipper that could? Or won't.
bncho replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
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saying that a 30 day MJO 8 is supposed to happen is like saying that the 384hr GFS solution is going to happen lol
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Right now, I'd say I'm fairly confident that DCA will get at least 1.1" of snow right now (assuming DCA doesn't do their normal measuring bullshit), making this December the snowiest since 2009!
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18z NAM is more south and has similar QPF as 12z. Drops 6" just NW of Baltimore.
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NWS is very agressive:
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I pay $30 a month for WeatherBELL for it not to load.
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KING EURO
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so much for that prediction lol
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this is for the panic room. we can't have bad energy anywhere else lol
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saw a few flakes. counts as a trace, lol
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the angle of the trough also kinda sucks. it barely gets its shit together in time so we get a neutral tilt but if we want it negative then we'd need it to slow down and dive SW
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Maybe I'll take a stab at a thread.
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I'm glad I stayed up. IMO excellent 0z suite. CMC and Euro trended south and GFS trended north. Euro AI also higher totals for everybody except @TSSN+.
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0z Euro follows suit with the CMC by going more south; I think DC/Balt would like it. Also has more QPF
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the type of shit @SnowenOutThere feels when he creates the thread and gets the jack zone while the northern crew gets nothing:
