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bncho

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Everything posted by bncho

  1. The Euro is a major tick SE with the goods.
  2. y'all are impatient asf... post the pretty snow maps when it's done.
  3. Euro actually being wetter gives it quite a prolific thump!
  4. hey, this is my time to shine. i need to get a chance on the varsity team, man.
  5. Euro's up and running. Let's go nighttime crew!
  6. ok i said i bombed it but i never said i failed lol. yall are thinking i got a 25% or smth
  7. That would be a cool storm. I get 8" snow followed by 3" of sleet and 0.5" freezing rain. That would definitely keep me out of school the whole week as well.
  8. Here's what I'm thinking. In the upper levels, any difference in temperature can make a huge difference at the surface. A bust -0.25*C cold is probably an extra hour of snow before a flip to mixing, which is an extra 1-2". In these overrunning CAD setups it's harder to predict the upper level temps. There's more risk for those forecasts to bust.
  9. No worries! I come here to learn. If you correct me on things that I get wrong, that's more than fine with me!
  10. Ah, thanks! Looking at the NWS website it's used for tracking fires—but is it used to track snowstorms like these?
  11. To straighten things up. There are only two versions of the NAM Nest. The regular 'ol 12k NAM and the hi-res 3k NAM. There is no such thing as a 1.33k NAM (that I know of). The 3k NAM should start to get into range for this storm by 0z tomorrow night, where it starts to enter its useful range. Hoped that helped.
  12. Whatever the EPS-AI means to you...
  13. You're quite bullish! What is your reasoning for this forecast?
  14. Snow maps look a decent amount worse than 12z, unless you live far NW
  15. 12z comparison—18z slightly colder
  16. We reacted to this post with disgust at first, now we're just trying to get the most variety of reactions
  17. Yeah, that was the whole point of the post. You're right for the wrong reason.
  18. Elevation actually doesn't really matter in these types of setups. The surface temps aren't an issue, it's the upper levels that are. Elevation won't really help with that, it's the fact that's he's NW of the metros.
  19. By the way that's entering the medium range soon. Crazy how loaded this pattern is.
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