bncho
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Everything posted by bncho
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how bad was the concussion dude? did you get some severe personality disorder or something??
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I understand what you're trying to get at, and I agree with you--December isn't looking warm at all, especially for those north of Baltimore. I have no idea where some of those people get that idea from. However, I think it's important to take responsibility, as I thought you had tried to cover up warm trends on the weeklies. Obviously we have our different perspectives as to what happens, but I was just commenting on what I noticed. Winter isn't over at all, because we're still in November, and we have no idea what the end result will be. Nothing is set in stone. So here's to a snowy winter!
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I mean, this highlights a problem you bring up all the time about people like snowman spreading their agenda, because here you do a similar thing. Whenever the weeklies show something good you're like "it'll be cold" but whenever the weeklies trend bad you cover it up as shown above.
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I don't think the pattern will continue into the end of December. There's a colder signal for then. There's not much to worry about right now, especially for the NE folks.
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let it torch in early-december, IDC too much. just let it be cold mid-late december
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GFS maybe, GEFS not so much. SE ridge only really flexes around December 2-4 before the cold air starts pushing east. Definitely something to watch but I'm not too concerned right now.
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is this a pattern issue or is this just a warm/wet cold/dry mantra? i would somewhat agree with the assertion of warm/wet cold/dry winters, however i would disagree when saying that the patterns itself have been bad. it's just that the good patterns didn't produce. please correct me if i'm wrong.
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Correct me if I'm wrong, but essentially what you're saying is that we’ll probably still get colder later in December, but the pattern is now looking less “textbook perfect” than it did before; it looks more like a pattern driven mainly by the MJO rather than a more powerful and sustained cold setup from both the Pacific and the Atlantic.
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Is December looking less and less good (because it seems like the beginning of the month has trended warmer), or is it just models rushing the pattern change like usual?
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very interesting forecast because of the snowfall gradient.
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chill yall. this is a thread to talk about ENSO, not a thread to belittle people because of their biases warm/cold. jeez
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December will be ROCKING! Prepare NOW!
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6z GFS is right where we want it?
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i don't think the mid-atlantic should expect to see anything until december 15. after that things look more favorable and it might be game on for us
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Heavy snow in McLean. 31/30. 4” on the ground. 6-10” more to come?
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I'm thinking you might be seeing a rain/snow mix. it's very hard to see that out of your window, but you might see some translucent, very wet flakes if you go outside and analyze
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man, if it were only 5-10 degrees colder
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i would love it, though. maybe we can sneak in a few 1-3 and 3-5 events in mid-late December to put us up there.
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6" of snow in December? I don't buy it.
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low of 29 in mclean
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watch us randomly get 2-4" of snow. biggest forecast bust (or boom depending on how you look at things) since snowquester
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GFS-AI? where can I access that?
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12z Euro was nice. Temps are around 32-35 so rain/snow mix.
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end of 12z Euro looked kinda cool, temps at DCA and BWI were like 32-35 so rain/snow mix
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perhaps this is an over-polarization, especially for central park, but for Baltimore and points south I can tell you we treat every snow event like gravy.
