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bncho

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Everything posted by bncho

  1. bncho
    I think HRRR is a little bit faster and a little bit wetter. (2/10)
  2. bncho
    What do you mean by that?
  3. bncho
    0z suite is starting with the HRRR. Let's reel this in! (1/10)
  4. bncho
    I watched this at 1.3x speed and I will say it was one of the best, most productive 25 minutes I've ever spent. Thank you SO MUCH for making this video, I really appreciate it! I might post this on my Twitter account if that's okay with you. People need to learn about this!
  5. bncho
    I completely understand. But your post kinda made me realize that a lot of my posts are off impulse… I want to do better in that respect.
  6. bncho
    Since you mention that, I’m going to try and start 10-posting myself in the L/R and storm threads. If I have something to mention I’m gonna make sure it’s important. That should help with the issue.
  7. bncho
    I gotcha. I’ve been trying to improve on that.
  8. bncho
    I have a feeling that once you wake up Sunday morning you’ll probably know the general outcome of this storm.
  9. bncho
    What do you think of the pattern? For Sunday you said that it was a good pattern for a MECS but implied there was a cap. Is there no limit to this pattern?
  10. bncho
    (there's more for baltimore north)
  11. bncho
    Slight shift south and it's slightly juicier
  12. bncho
    AI GFS shift south
  13. bncho
    HRRR likes the idea the possibility of some thundersnow (and then thundersleet) right before the changeover.
  14. bncho
    The GFS is 14" of snow + sleet for DC.
  15. bncho
    GFS = stubborn bastard
  16. bncho
    btw the 3k NAM is ALSO noticeably colder in the upper levels than its 12z run
  17. bncho
    NAM noticeably colder in the upper levels
  18. bncho
    Well then, in that case, it would be great if you could explain to me vorticities and how they interact and what we would want for a Winter Storm vs nothing and each little piece affects things downstream
  19. bncho
    OMG thank you for asking. One of big things I know very little about is frontogenesis in general. An explanation of that would be AMAZING!
  20. bncho
    Do any Mets have any possible implications for this?
  21. bncho
    Verbatim that would've flipped us back to some snow at the end, no?
  22. bncho
    That's probably rimed snow/sleet mix
  23. bncho
    What a prolific THUMP on the HRRR
  24. bncho
    HRRR's gonna be ~10" in DC. They flip to sleet/rimed snow at 11AM.
  25. bncho
    SE DC loses thermals at hr 46, NW DC and burbs holding on...
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