Justification: the HRRR is a bad model
Discounting: the HRRR shouldn’t be counted as it is a bad model.
Hoping: I hope the HRRR is wrong cause it’s a bad model.
Reality: shit.
It's wonderful how we say that the GFS is a great model as soon as 6+" shows up and how we mention the GEM was a good model (almost Euro-like) for 1/5-12 because it showed the things we liked.