bncho
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Everything posted by bncho
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Looking at the ENSO thread some are thinking that 2025-26 will be warm-neutral and 2026-27 will be an El Nino. What's the snowfall correlation for +PDO warm-neutral?
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i don't mind it--around this time last year there was a strong la nina favored
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right now temps are the least of our issues. we need to secure a storm first.
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unfortunately but as expected, the 6z GFS is even worse than 0z
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gotta get used to positive ji
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jinxed it
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if that comes 50 miles south then the N/W crew will get the storm they deserve
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i mean, i'm holding out hope for the goofy GFS to finally work at hr 123
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thinking this March 10 thingy will sneak up on us the trend this winter has been: whenever we're enthusiastic about something it never comes to fruition (think Feb 20 - mar 15 pattern or psu's ku) but whenever we're unenthusiastic about something it comes to fruition (think the cold January pattern)
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makes me wonder what the DJF average was
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the gfs had a weenie run on 0z but fwiw it's now twice showed snow on March 8-10
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10 days ago we were tracking a blizzard and an epic pattern
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I think next year will be a bit better for all of us, even if it isn't a Nino. But with the improving PDO, if by chance we get a Modoki Nino I think it'll be a record-breaking season due to the heightened chance for massive storms due to climate change.
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The February 20 model collapse really hurts now. Hopefully, with an improving PDO and a Nino next year we can do better.
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maybe since it's march they can't do it anymore hopefully
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the trend.
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the low isn't in a bad spot but there's no cold air
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it'll be in cuba
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it'll either snow on the 28th or the 28th (of December 2025)
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lol
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but wait there's more model run
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so the thermals hold and it's really snowing
