Monty
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Posts
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About Monty
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I have always considered the NWS to be the gold standard of forecasting and posts for lulz that look like they came from random internet kid weather page diminishes the brand. The graphic numbers shared is disappointing, I'm glad they took it down, and I hope they carry their office with the decorum and respect theyve earned and deserve going forward.
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- metsfan vs snowman
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What's Cioffi up to these days? He was the backup to Alan Kasper on 1015 growing up, and is a better forecaster than Dan Zarrow, but I haven't heard much from him.
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Why would folks "try to make a mass hysteria?" You just said yourself this is anomalous.
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Watch the HRRR steal your rain right before your eyes!
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Not for us grape growers, as @Big Jims Videos pointed out!
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It will be interesting if we get an early Frost and leaf fall, what that will mean for trees and shrubs if shallow rooted hardwoods don't get a drink for the last 45 days of the growing season. As others have noted there's a corridor in between Flemington and Princeton that have missed almost all the rain this summer, and now this. Hopewell-Montgomery area starting to look like the moon.
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And just like that the GFS12z says it doesn't rain the entire length of the run. Cool, cool
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This is the third straight mid/late week timeframe where the models had several runs suggesting serious rainfall for NJ/NYC. The first two did not materialize, the ridge won out. Next Wed-Thu we will try again.
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Radar returns add credence to the idea that the bulk of the rain stays East, off the coast. The 1-3" in SoJo depictions are in trouble.
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I attended that many years ago. Threw a lot of flight wheel, got totally wizzed out.
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