IrishRob17

Another double digit rainfall month here with 10.52” in September, July had 13.95”.

Silly me thinking that it was done raining for the month when I posted…

Picked up .02 in this mornings drizzle/misery mist, 10.49” on the month, my second double digit rainfall month of the year…

The HRRR keeps trying to push rain west but its not happening on the radar. The 18Z HRRR had rain pushed to our west at 4pm for example.

.72, nothing measurable for hours over here, roads/sidewalks are dry.

Interesting because as you noted, radar was indicated that Dutchess was about to float away into the Hudson.

Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 1112 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1116 AM EDT Fri Sep 29 2023 Areas affected...far eastern PA into NJ, southern NY/Long Island, CT and western MA Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding likely Valid 291515Z - 292045Z SUMMARY...Flash flooding will remain likely across the tri-state region over the next few hours, some of which could be significant to major. Rainfall rates of 1-3 in/hr and additional totals of 3-6 inches prior to 21Z should be expected, leading to a very dangerous situation if these totals overlap with 3-6 inches of rain which has already fallen over NYC. DISCUSSION...1445Z regional radar imagery continued to show widespread moderate to heavy rain across the NYC metro into southern NY/western CT/western MA. The highest rainfall rates were located just north of NYC into far western CT, along a low level convergence axis forced by a mesoscale circulation over NYC. Wunderground and NYC Mesonet/NYC Micronet gauge data has shown 3-6 inches of rain has fallen across the Five Boroughs with rainfall rates peaking in the 2-3 in/hr range over Brooklyn around 12Z, resulting in numerous flash flood impacts across the region. While lightning observations have been largely absent, a few embedded thunderstorms have been observed where elevated instability of a few hundred J/kg was present, rooted near the 850 mb level via the 12Z OKX sounding. Precipitable water values were near 1.6 inches, just above the 90th percentile for late September but despite the somewhat modest moisture, forcing for ascent was strong...owing to low level overrunning of an inverted surface trough which extended northward from the northern Mid-Atlantic coast into far western Long Island at 14Z. Low level winds centered near 850 mb were averaging 20-30 kt from the SE, supporting multiple rounds of heavy rain with recent redevelopment of heavier rain along and offshore of Manmouth and Ocean counties in eastern NJ. Pivoting of the 20-30 kt low level axis of winds to the north of an 850 mb circulation centered over southern NJ is expected to support the refocusing of heavy rain into portions of central/northern NJ while southeasterly flow maintains areas of heavy rain into southern NY and portions of western CT/MA, where terrain influences will augment rainfall intensities. The potential for 1-3 in/hr rates will remain with the higher end of that range more likely over far eastern PA into NJ where increasing instability into the early afternoon is expected with continued low level moisture advection, allowing for MUCAPE values in the vicinity of 500 J/kg. Flash flooding is likely to continue across the region, with areas of major flash flooding likely where overlap of additional heavy rain occurs with areas of ongoing flash flooding with an additional totals of 3-6 inches expected in some locations.

.70 here on the western fringe, this is one of those times I do not mind being fringed.

Stuck in/under the classic early fall Wallkill River valley fog

54/52 with constant light rain, up to 2.33" for this event.

My astro summer was 31.69" this year, last year it was 6.50". June-Sept this year: 34.79" June-Sept 2011: 38.51"

1.95” and counting, 9.17” for the month.

And apparently it was a right side linemen missing.

So effin' close, last nights game goes right up there with the damn Bush Push game

.17 on the day

Getting close to hoodie weather

It’s a major award!

All I know is that CTblizz was a well deserved weenie of the decade on the old board.

After the summer that we've had I can't be the only one to look at 2" of rain and say "meh". Of course the high water table trough doesn't need much to cause flooding issues.

If they told you that wolverines would make good house pets would you believe them? Up to 64 under brilliant sunshine.

It's not here yet, high of 72 forecast here, 75 there, and plenty of sun.

A jacket at 60?! I thought you liked cool weather? Low of 54 here.

Why can't I be a magnet for snow like I am rain this year, approaching 2.50 and still pouring.

All of the rain now will likely cause muted/washout colors this year, we'll see. 1.17" IMBY