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stormy

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Everything posted by stormy

  1. stormy
    to illustrate a trend from the previous run
  2. stormy
  3. stormy
    GEM south
  4. stormy
    You better cross your fingers. The present trend is not your friend. 12z will give the bottom line.
  5. stormy
    A definite southward shift in Nam at 18z. D.C. now in the bullseye.
  6. stormy
    The EURO and GFS are on separate islands, about 100 miles apart. The Euro and UKIE are camped on the same island.
  7. stormy
    I love it !! This has been my conviction for 30 hrs. now. This thing is trending north. AS I have posted since noon yesterday, mixing will be a HUGE issue ......................................
  8. stormy
    The ICON is what I have been trying to communicate in the last 24 hours. Accurate? Who knows
  9. stormy
    I dropped from 9.3 at 06z to 5.0 at 12z on the Euro. It caved toward the GEM and GFS with the southern margin. It dropped qp in my area from .95" to .69"
  10. stormy
    The GFS is very erratic with the movement of low pressure from western Tennessee/Kentucky to the east coast. This must be clarified with future runs to determine who gets what.
  11. stormy
    If the 50/50 weakens it will cut. The 06z ECM actually shifts the 50/50 slightly west and slightly increases ne confluence , hence the slight southward shift.
  12. stormy
    Like a wall! The precip. cant' get across the mountains ................................................................
  13. stormy
    The ICON greatly diminishes Mondays potential....................... DROUGHT??.................
  14. stormy
    Euro shifts north 50 - 75 miles with 12z. Not good because Miller B's are notorious for serious mixing issues. No more of this!! Get back down in Tennessee and North Carolina.
  15. stormy
    A shift in the right direction!! Be patient............. I'll take my 3 inches and be happy.
  16. stormy
    Excellent point!!
  17. stormy
    The GFS was suppressed south which is no big deal at this point. The GEM is also suppressed south which brings it right into my backyard.
  18. stormy
    12z GFS more amped.
  19. stormy
    Very simple! Trash the 18Z GFS and look forward to 00z
  20. stormy
    .32" so far. Warmer today, 56 at 9:30.
  21. stormy
    The GEM saves us at 270:
  22. stormy
    Not always but will often trend in that direction. In January of 66, I received 16 inches of snow in one storm that found heavy snow falling with a 3 pm temperature of +4! Coldest I ever witnessed in the middle of a snowstorm!!
  23. stormy
    That can happen east of the mountains. 76 - 77 was possibly the coldest winter in 200 years but was often suppression city . The AO was -2.07 in December of 76, -3.76 in January of 77 and -2.01 for February 77 Read all about it: https://www.secretsoftheeasternshore.com/eastern-shore-deep-freeze/ The 1976–77 Winter in the Contiguous United States in Comparison with Past Records in: Monthly Weather Review Volume 106 Issue 10 (1978)
  24. stormy
    The AO tanking to -3.00 to -4.00 is classic for historical severe patterns. 09 - 10 it tanked to -3.41 with an NAO -.1.10. The PDO was -.50 The AO is almost always the deciding factor. 77-78 found the AO tanking to -3.01 with an NAO of -.12. The PDO was +.50.
  25. stormy
    The CPC January temperature anomaly along the east coast is being destroyed by the 6 - 24 day.
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