stormy
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Everything posted by stormy
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The 18z NAM is beginning to see..... It was totally blind to the threat on Sunday at 12z.
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8.7 at 7 am.
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For about 10 hours. Cheer up Mattie! At least its in the 5 day threat period.
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I'm slightly interested. 2 identical runs are impressive.
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11.2 this morning. At least the sun is out.
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You are smart! Snow climo is very fluid depending on where you measure. Lets be honest, we have been in a snow drought for nearly 10 years. Micromanaging can vary.
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I surpassed snow climo in 21-22 with 28.50 inches. The relentless harp about lack of snow and warming is amusing.................... I guess, that's what makes the world go around.....................
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This can be a driver that often rules the roost in winter when more than -3.0 negative
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The GEFS extended has a colder anomaly for the first 10 days of February than 24 hrs. ago.
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The EURO splits the difference between the GEM and GFS
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GFS has the same system which is always good, but has the Atlantic ridge weaker and the system is suppressed.
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1 inch last night. 18 at 7 am, up to 25. I plowed out the driveway because we like bare pavement.
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Snow is very slow coming up the Valley from Roanoke.
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I fish Douthat and Moomaw.
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Overcast and 25 degrees at 4 pm, The latest from the HRRR indicates you might get a little more than me. How is the level of the Jackson? I fish there occasionally.
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It takes about 50 lbs to break thru the crust. 40 lb dogs walk on top.
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A heatwave at 23 degrees at 1:00 !!
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1 degree at 6:30. Up to 12 at 10:30. Harrisonburg was 0 at 7 am.
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23 degrees at 4:30 with a very cold northerly breeze of 4 - 8 mph.
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Low of 6 after a high of 29 yesterday. Harrisonburg reported 4 this morning. 3 - 5 mph breeze hindered radiational cooling at my place. 18 at 10:45.
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Many variables exist for the Friday/Sunday threat. Scrutiny at this point is an exercise in futility. Come back 48 hrs. from now......................
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5.5 inches, .5" sleet and freezing rain. A 5" brick that will melt very slowly. 12 degrees this morning.
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Heavy snow and 27.0. I inch on the board. Began at 7.
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3.7 " 12z 6.7 18z
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My 4 model blend is 6 inches. 4 inches GFS, 11 inches ECMWF............ 1 inch of sleet and .20 freezing rain. My call while the models are still at WAR............... 4-7 mixed with sleet and freezing rain for Augusta. 5-9 mostly snow for Winchester/D.C.
