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stormy

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  1. stormy
    As I said Sunday morning, a few changes would give many in our region 4 - 8 inches of snow tomorrow. The NWS establishes a base of support with a WWA with the retreating cold air source and LP into the Ohio Valley. A terrible early season synoptic that chirps. https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=VAZ025&warncounty=VAC015&firewxzone=VAZ025&local_place1=4 Miles SSE Churchville VA&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory&lat=38.1779&lon=-79.1425
  2. stormy
    22 degrees at 6 am.
  3. stormy
    Only a few changes would give us snow on Tuesday. Place that New Hampshire high over Superior. Track the Arkansas low to southeasterrn N.C. instead of southern Ohio. Presto, 4-8 inches of snow.
  4. stormy
    I received 4 inches on Thanksgiving eve in 1989.
  5. stormy
    You're a smart person!
  6. stormy
    I think your right..................... I'll take it no matter where it came from!!!! Of course, I'll believe it when its in the gauge.
  7. stormy
    Last Wednesday at 5:41 pm I said in this thread that I sensed the atmosphere was beginning to feel El Nino and moisture influx into our area would improve over the next 5 - 15 days. The latest CPC thoughts give Virginia especially southwest of D.C. 2 inches of rain Tuesday/Wednesday. The latest 18z deterministic GFS gives my area through D.C. 2 - 3 inches during this time-frame. Was my call 3 days ago blind luck or divine intervention??
  8. stormy
    You need a Cyclone Rake! Mine makes short work of leaves and holds 44 bushels before you have to dump. Price is reasonable for the work they do. Several sizes ranging from $1500 - $2000.
  9. stormy
    Wow!!! That was an hilarious blast!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  10. stormy
    I am sensing that the atmosphere is beginning to feel El Nino.. The suppressed southeast system will steal moisture from Friday's potential as a little more northward influence allows greater stealing capability but this may be a positive signal for 5 - 15 days into the future. I predict that moisture influx will improve over the tristate region beginning next week just in time for my month ago Thanksgiving predicted beginning Nino influence.
  11. stormy
    Suppressed southeast low pressure robs the moisture from Friday night frontal. 18z NAM12 now zero. Only 14% of normal first half of November at .24". Will do a study of nino winter snowfalls with less than 50% of normal precipitation. It will be bleak.
  12. stormy
    Spire is ok for a global impression, but I lost interest a few months ago because regional detail does not exist.
  13. stormy
    Congratulations on being gloriously positive! I assume IAD at 43 is a max.. I am usually similar to Dulles. That's right in line with my max. of 40 for Augusta.
  14. stormy
    This map is not "slightly to well below normal" for the 81-corridor. 22-30 inches can actually be slightly above normal. As far as Canaan, they border on 36" +. which is infinity. I'm like PSU, I can see 10 - 50 inches. Current repetitive Sahara like precip. patterns suggest 10 inches but I have high hopes for a pattern change.
  15. stormy
    Lynchburg 13.5 inches
  16. stormy
    It was amazing to see the deterministic GFS and GEM collapse from more than an inch on Friday 24 hrs. ago to nada at 6 am.. The ensembles held their own from yesterday as well as the NBM.
  17. stormy
    This would be workable. Trough in Honolulu, Ridge in Vegas, Trough in D.C.. Of course, considering the flip in 24 hrs., what will we have tomorrow??
  18. stormy
    Thanks for your interest Rodney. Lynchburg is considerably more inland. Though low elevation Lynchburg averages 12 inches of snow annually. Salisbury only averages 7 inches. Strong noreasters can wallop Salisbury more than Lynchburg. The nod for this winter goes to Lynchburg at 12 - 15 inches and Salisbury 9 - 12 inches.
  19. stormy
    BWI 19.1" DCA 14.3" IAD 25.8" RIC 8.2"
  20. stormy
    Here's the map:
  21. stormy
    Latest CPC analysis says 3.4 is now 1.80 with the DYN AVG now 2.0 thru Jan.
  22. stormy
    We need that deep trough well to the west with ridging over Nevada and troughing over the east with the axis over Nashville.
  23. stormy
    The CPC finally hints at more moisture getting into our drought stricken area as we approach Thanksgiving.
  24. stormy
    I'm just being proactive for what is coming soon. That's a better pastime than dwelling on all the unreasonable people in the D.C. area.
  25. stormy
    1 - 3 inches of snow tomorrow in northwest Highland County above 3500 ft...... 4332 ft. Rt. 250 at the state line is a great candidate. Wax those ski's!!
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