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stormy

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Everything posted by stormy

  1. stormy
    A heatwave at 23 degrees at 1:00 !!
  2. stormy
    1 degree at 6:30. Up to 12 at 10:30. Harrisonburg was 0 at 7 am.
  3. stormy
    23 degrees at 4:30 with a very cold northerly breeze of 4 - 8 mph.
  4. stormy
    Low of 6 after a high of 29 yesterday. Harrisonburg reported 4 this morning. 3 - 5 mph breeze hindered radiational cooling at my place. 18 at 10:45.
  5. stormy
    Many variables exist for the Friday/Sunday threat. Scrutiny at this point is an exercise in futility. Come back 48 hrs. from now......................
  6. stormy
    5.5 inches, .5" sleet and freezing rain. A 5" brick that will melt very slowly. 12 degrees this morning.
  7. stormy
    Heavy snow and 27.0. I inch on the board. Began at 7.
  8. stormy
    3.7 " 12z 6.7 18z
  9. stormy
    My 4 model blend is 6 inches. 4 inches GFS, 11 inches ECMWF............ 1 inch of sleet and .20 freezing rain. My call while the models are still at WAR............... 4-7 mixed with sleet and freezing rain for Augusta. 5-9 mostly snow for Winchester/D.C.
  10. stormy
    I agree. No blocking high to the north. Only the 50/50. Hope for the best everyone. Goodnight
  11. stormy
    I could clearly see a southward shift at 57, the later frames confirm it.
  12. stormy
    to illustrate a trend from the previous run
  13. stormy
  14. stormy
    GEM south
  15. stormy
    You better cross your fingers. The present trend is not your friend. 12z will give the bottom line.
  16. stormy
    A definite southward shift in Nam at 18z. D.C. now in the bullseye.
  17. stormy
    The EURO and GFS are on separate islands, about 100 miles apart. The Euro and UKIE are camped on the same island.
  18. stormy
    I love it !! This has been my conviction for 30 hrs. now. This thing is trending north. AS I have posted since noon yesterday, mixing will be a HUGE issue ......................................
  19. stormy
    The ICON is what I have been trying to communicate in the last 24 hours. Accurate? Who knows
  20. stormy
    I dropped from 9.3 at 06z to 5.0 at 12z on the Euro. It caved toward the GEM and GFS with the southern margin. It dropped qp in my area from .95" to .69"
  21. stormy
    The GFS is very erratic with the movement of low pressure from western Tennessee/Kentucky to the east coast. This must be clarified with future runs to determine who gets what.
  22. stormy
    If the 50/50 weakens it will cut. The 06z ECM actually shifts the 50/50 slightly west and slightly increases ne confluence , hence the slight southward shift.
  23. stormy
    Like a wall! The precip. cant' get across the mountains ................................................................
  24. stormy
    The ICON greatly diminishes Mondays potential....................... DROUGHT??.................
  25. stormy
    Euro shifts north 50 - 75 miles with 12z. Not good because Miller B's are notorious for serious mixing issues. No more of this!! Get back down in Tennessee and North Carolina.
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