stormy
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Everything posted by stormy
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Kuchera means nothing with a right hand turn. But, I emphasize, this is early.
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GFS heads south again
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Like I said earlier, 12z Monday will pass judgement, but east of I-95 will likely be bombed!
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16:1 out here
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That will happen by Monday 12z.
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When I started posting potential for my Newsletter on Thursday, a 4 model blend was 4.5". Yesterday it went to 6.8". This morning 7.7". Now 8.3" Kuchera is 11.2. At 48 hrs., Monday 12z will pass judgment.
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Wednesday/Thursday has a lot of potential. We can't know at this time whether this will be a trace-1 inch or 10 -20 inches. Speculation will provide no answers. Many factors will create the ultimate solution. We should have a better handle by perhaps Monday.
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You need to re educate yourself a little. March 2, 1980- Elizabeth City , 25 inches of snow. That's a little over 2 ft.
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18 z GFS is suppression city
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I'll send all of mine to you. Where do you live?
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I warmed about 1 degree overnight. This thankfully prevented significant icing on trees. 7 inches of compacted snow with 35 degrees at 9:15.
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I'm at 31.6 and the light rain is beginning to freeze on trees
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The 18z 3kNam says I should be 35 degrees at 4 pm !!! HO HO, 27 minutes to go and I'm at 31.6.
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The dead Euro is cramping my late afternoon 4 model blend. Guess I'll have to use 6z. I was hoping to get my ice threat tonight down a few notches below .27"
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My greatest fear for tonight is white pine limbs already laden with snow from yesterday. Longer limbs wont take a lot of additional weight before they begin to snap. I lost about a dozen last week.
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8" with several reports of 9/10 within 10 miles. For tonight, I tossed the NAM 3k which unreasonably depicts .80 zr to 0 zr within 10 miles. A 4 model blend of .23 zr seems reasonable. I expect mostly on elevated surfaces. 32 degrees at noon.
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5.0 inches with heavy snow during the past couple of hrs.. 28.2 degrees
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The models have been advertising this for over 24 hrs. Potential has diminished somewhat during the past 18 hrs.
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Light to moderate snow has been falling for 4 hours. 1.5 inches on the board. 28.6 degrees
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NAM nest gives D.C. proper about 2 inches more than 06z.
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Reports of 4 - 5 inches west of Roanoke in southwest Va. and southern W Va. in the Beckley region.
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My 4 model blend at 7 am is 8.7 inches. Began snowing about 8.
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I was surprised about 2 hrs ago when first looking at the HRRR and hour much it dry slots my area.
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Remember when we talked a few days ago?
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At 5 am the NWS posted a rather stupid WSW for my area of 4 - 6 inches when the models were at 8 inches. My forecast is 6 - 12. I fully expected the NWS to wake up and they did at 3 pm, raising from 4 - 6 to 5- 10.
