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stormy

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Everything posted by stormy

  1. 37.4 early this morning!! That is insane for June 2!!!!! Normals in my neck of the woods for this date are 77 and 56.
  2. 30 - 40 mph winds again today. Beating my garden. This growing season stinks.
  3. .02" yesterday from an NWS predicted 1.00" - 2.00". 5.42" total for May. Normal 3.60". First above normal month since last September.
  4. The SPC and NWS are off the wall over atmospherics that the models are wondering, whats all the excitement about??? I'm under a Flash Flood Watch and Tornado Watch. I will receive neither....................
  5. 1.16" total in the Valley.
  6. The NWS has an 80% prob. of showers and storms before 11 pm. The convective activity in W.Va. is dying to the north as it approaches the state border. As usual, the NWS is mostly useless..........................................
  7. .13" rain last night. 63 degrees at 2:30 is 10 degrees below the normal high of 73. No real improvement tomorrow or Friday.
  8. The incoming system is affected by blocking HP over E. Canada, but it is riding a little too far north for a soaking rain.
  9. 25 mph winds again today. Good drying with 48% humidity. 76 degrees
  10. .83" last 18 hrs. About 12 miles to my south at Sherando in the BR western foothills, 2.26".
  11. only .06" since 1:30..................... Will this be the usual under- performer???????????????
  12. Rain began at 1:30. I need 3.77" to erase the drought for the year.
  13. The latest guidance takes the heaviest rain next week west of the B.R...............................
  14. 36.7 this morning. A 4m model blend for Monday - Thursday rainfall is now 2.38". That would be heavenly!!!
  15. 46.1 degrees at 5:20. This beat the NWS expected low of 53 by far!!!!!
  16. 1.25" last 18 hrs. in the Valley.
  17. My greatest fear for rainfall potential is the strength of the Atlantic Ridge over the weekend.
  18. The 00z 5-1 GEM pushes the heavy rains north into Pennsylvania.
  19. Precipitation is precipitation, winter or summer when looking 1 - 7 days into the future. The greater the expected sum total, the greater the error factor. The WPC has already changed significantly in the past 20 hrs. with qp amounts for the next 7 days.
  20. The qp projections for next week will change at least 12 times in the next 6 days. What seems to be the sweet spot at this time will probably change during the next 48 hrs. Lets don't repeat the normal winter mistakes. The huge potential shift is that in conflict with usual patterns, low pressure surface and aloft will dominate instead of high pressure.
  21. There are signals from different directions that we could turn wet from May 3 - May 13. Will it happen?? 30% probability.....................
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