stormy
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Everything posted by stormy
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You are exactly right.................... My 1300 ft elevation makes a differennce, but very close 3,000nelevation makes a real difference. I will take a +2500 Nino over a minus -.75 Nina any day of the week...............................
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The 18z NAM 12 says the zonal flow cuts off moisture from the south.
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I beat Ya for April at 1.68" Today was a measly .01"................... Strong zonal flow is funneling moisture across N.C. and OTS.
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Totally different winter patterns. My average is 24" snowfall. In 1998, I received 33 inches. In 22-23, I received 1.50". There is more to a winter than the ENSO pattern and west or east based and strength.
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We may have a Nino failure if the PDO stays negative................................
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Lift from the advancing front produces sprinkles to our west. Saturday rainfall footprint along the East Coast is a preview to DJF 26/27 El Nino pattern....................... Probably......................
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The rainfall footprint for the weekend along the east coast can mimic December 2026. Hopefully, a little more north, but long-term with a negative PDO ????
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West to East as the LP moves from Parkersburg to Pittsburgh.
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The PDO has been negative for 6 years. It's easier for the MA to be wet when the PDO is positive because La Nina like dry conditions are more likely when the PDO is negative. The coming El Nino can possibly fail if the PDO stays negative.
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A wedge of dry air from high pressure east of Maine, discouraged convective activity. I consider myself lucky with .35".
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18.3 at Churchville, 5 miles west of Staunton.
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21.6 at 6:30 on my Davis WS.
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28 degrees and calm at 7 am.
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22.8 at 7 am.................. Up to 27.2 at 8am. Probably more than 80% of the fruit is frozen.
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sprinkles began 8:15. It has sprinkled its way to .01" at 9:15.
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After the fruit sets, it hardier. Bloom stage is fragile.
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More freezes next week for my blooming fruit trees
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You know the Cansips is always right
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The NAM 3k sees the current rain........................ The NAM 12 K is blind to the rain.
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RIP Roger. I will miss your occasional realism.
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.55" yesterday. 29 this morning, another freeze.
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.30" of wonderful rain at 4:30. 48 degrees
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We have had many. 5-10-83 27 degrees, 5-16-83 29 degrees, 5-16-84 30 degrees, 5-30-84 32 degrees, 5-25-88 33 degrees, 5-31-96 33 degrees, 5-30-96- 33 degrees, 5-27-91 31 degrees, 5-20-93 33 degrees....
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16 yesterday morning will probably be the last teens for this spring but freezes will probably extend into early May.
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Most of us just love the GFS, though we won't admit it, or realize it. A dull day is spiked with fleeting outrageous denial of expectation. Palm Sunday, 8 inches of snow!!! April 7, 1971, I had 9 inches at 1325 ft and Afton Mt. at 1850 ft. had 17 inches.....................................................
