stormy

I closely observe the Drought Monitor weekly and have given credibility to its assessment until May 200% of rainfall in Augusta and the 310 ft. water table returning from - 15 to - 2. This Drought Monitor measure is completely wrapped up in government bureaucracy as the Va. DEQ said last week that the drought continues because "groundwater levels are much below normal". What a joke! They have increased from minus 21 in February to minus 2 in May. I can't rely on the Drought Monitor or DEQ.... I will rely on my own assessments in the future. Thanks Very Much for your interest!!!

The US Drought Monitor failed miserably again this morning. This is typical of a government entity that sucks up dollars and spits out crap. Augusta- Severe and Extreme Drought.. It does not exist..

40.2 at 6:15.

41.2 at 6:30

You are very observant! Congratulations. The comma's should have been periods. Wrong key. I have a bad habit of periods after a finished sentence to emphasize full stop after an unusual statement.

We are not going to really feel the coming El Nino until Oct. - Jan This period will almost certainly be wetter than normal. Other stuff is a crapshoot,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

I really appreciate your information. It reveals my expectations....................... There is a slow "catch up " time and even then a reluctance to downgrade drought..

I have lost a lot of faith in the veracity of the U.S. Drought Monitor. When it updated Thursday morning at 8:30, it kept Augusta County in Extreme Drought. No way! 3 - 5 inches of rain in 8 days. 4.88" at my gauge. Water table rising and only a few ft. below normal. It would be a miscommunication to even say that we are abnormally dry at this time. Maybe in a few weeks if no more rain, but not now.

45.8 at 6:30

4.88" last 8 days. 6.11" total for May.

3.90" total at 2:30. Hope for 5.00" by Wednesday 8 pm.

2.71" wonderful total! Hopefully another 2 inches thru Monday.

1.95" last 36 hrs.. Harrisonburg received 3.05" last 24 hrs. This is NOT a Drought buster but it is absolutely wonderful. 200% of normal for 2 to 3 months would break the drought.

That will be a blessing................

1.23" last 24. Expecting 1 - 2 inches additional later this afternoon and tonight.

I'm more impressed with the NAM 12

The WPC with the afternoon 7 day bought the paltry GFS 1.23" and tossed the 2.47" ECM and AI. Hopefully, they are wrong.

With the 1:54 7 day Update, the WPC is buying into the 7 day prog. from the GFS and tossing the ECMWF and AI.

Lingering La Nina

Hilarious how we have been dealing with this for years and some are tone deaf as if it is a short term anomaly. During the past 5 years, I have received an annual average of 37.30" compared to a 45 year average of 41.80........................ 4.5 inches average below normal during the past 5 years...........

34 at 6:30. Frost and 30 at Headwaters.

.09" in the last hour.......................... What a bonus!!

.87" total rain yesterday. Wonderful!! Low of 34.9 with clouds and fog.

An over-performer at last!!! Have received .60" since 6 am!! Temp. has dropped from 55 at 5 am to 43 at 9:55 am.

We don't get big ass HP off the coast. We get hp ridges along the coast that pump in dry air and suppress convection. I don't see relief until Fall.