stormy
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Everything posted by stormy
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There has been some talk about a torch leading up to Christmas. The White Christmas fans would have loved Christmas 1969 in Augusta County. I recorded 12 inches of snow with a high of 24 and low of 14. Lets do it....................................
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60 at Christmas is now closer to 35.................. What a thrill!!!!
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I love it! We need a thaw. 16 this morning was 13 degrees colder than normal. It was 65 degrees for Christmas 1965. That was 60 years ago.
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26 and cloudy for what was supposed to be 34 with sun. Euro deterministic gives Augusta 3.3" of snow Friday. Euro AI ens gives Augusta .3" of snow Friday. After looking at GEM and GFS, credibility is easy.
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Heavy cloud cover persisted most of last night. This allowed a low of 12 at 2 am instead of a possible 5. Total of 3.5 inches. 5.4 inches was reported about 10 miles south.
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make that wind 7 - 15
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2 inches at 1:30, 23.5 degrees with a northeasterly breeze at 7 - 5.
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1.25", moderate snow, northerly wind 10 - 20 mph, 25.1 degrees. It has fell 7 degrees since 7am.
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Snow began at 5 am with 32 degrees. 8:30- 30.9 degrees with moderate snow and .70". My 4 model blend is 3 inches and Kuchera is 5.0" Kuchera may be more accurate because GFS and NAM say 850mb 14 F at 1 pm which gives a ratio of 15 - 20: 1
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May the grace of God be with you, your family and wife. I lost a very special friend to the big C a few years ago. She was robbed of a beautiful life much too soon. Hopefully, your wife can beat this bastard.
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HP over Chicago 12z Monday will allow northward transition of southern moisture more efficiently than southern suppression from Scranton/NYC HP Thursday night. It could make a difference.
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18z GFS shifts north with possible Monday snow.
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The NAM is often the black sheep, but under 48 hrs it can signal a trend.
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18z NAM shifts north for Monday
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I like the Euro AIFS ens. Tuesday was wacky but it performed very well on Friday. I can handle 1.5" and be happy.
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Wednesday's 3 inches makes 10 times in the last 45 years that Augusta County has received winter events on December 5!!!!!! The others: 2018 - 1.5" snow, 2009 - 6" snow, 2007 - .8" snow, 2005 3.0", 2003 - 6.5", 2002- 5", 1996 3.0", 1985 .50", 1984 - 1 " sleet
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3.0 inches north side of Waynesboro. Got my driveway plowed out. Still flurries falling. 28 degrees.
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Light snow has started at Staunton/Waynesboro with 30.3 degrees.
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My 4 model blend increased from 1.6" at 8 am to 2.4" at 1 pm.................... I will predict 2 - 4 inches for Augusta in my newsletter a little later, with snow developing 1 - 3 am. For D.C., my thoughts are .5" - 1.0" with flurries by 5 - 6 am.
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Congratulations Terp.!!
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Unfortunately, this map from the WPC says it all.
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Yes, much of the east coast was wrecked.
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Yes, 18z gives me 1.6" compared to 12z at .7"
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I remember that Great Ash Wednesday storm.
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We'll be close to a 50/50 but the trajectory of the HP is a little south of ideal at Ogdensburg.
