CurlyHeadBarrett

Today's 06z models are still very bullish. No tales from Mumbai loonyland here. ICON: 944 mb at 108 hrs, probably a cat 4. HWRF: 948 mb at 60 hrs with peak winds of 108 kt, a strong cat 3. HMON: 955 mb at 51 hrs with peak winds of 116 kt, a cat 4. HAFS-A: 947 mb at 108 hrs with peak winds of 109 kt, a strong cat 3. Intensification is much more gradual though. HAFS-B: 957 mb at 48 hrs with peak winds of 110 kt, a strong cat 3. These models together would blend to a high-end cat 3 or low-end cat 4 hurricane (around 950 mb / 113 kt assuming ICON's 944 mb would result in ~120 kt).

Could Brampton, ON be affected?

What happened

What’s a specific h5 setup

Tales from mumbai it will explode soon just you wait

In other words humberto reincarnate

Fuaaaark, now forecast to become a major. Mirin brah. DNRD (Didn't Read): Tropical Storm Ernesto passed over the Virgin Islands and is heading northwest, likely impacting Puerto Rico and Bermuda soon. Current Status: Wind speeds at 65 mph; expected to strengthen to a major hurricane by Friday. Key Concerns: Tropical storm conditions in the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico through early Wednesday; possible hurricane conditions in some areas. Heavy rainfall could lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Bermuda may see impacts by late week; stay alert. Dangerous swells affecting several Caribbean regions and will reach the U.S. East Coast and Bermuda by the weekend. Forecast: Ernesto is expected to strengthen over the next few days, reaching up to 115 mph winds before weakening slightly. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/0300Z 18.8N 65.3W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 14/1200Z 20.3N 66.7W 65 KT 75 MPH 24H 15/0000Z 22.4N 68.3W 80 KT 90 MPH 36H 15/1200Z 24.4N 68.8W 90 KT 105 MPH 48H 16/0000Z 26.3N 68.3W 95 KT 110 MPH 60H 16/1200Z 28.1N 67.2W 100 KT 115 MPH 72H 17/0000Z 29.9N 66.2W 100 KT 115 MPH 96H 18/0000Z 34.0N 64.5W 90 KT 105 MPH 120H 19/0000Z 38.0N 63.0W 85 KT 100 MPH

Remember Debby's sat appearance?

How much did Ernesto's brothers Gonzalo and Humberto do

This isn't Mumbai

Giving me debby FLASHEDbacks

What do you think buddy boyo?

LOCATION...18.4N 64.7WABOUT 20 MI...30 KM E OF ST. THOMASABOUT 90 MI...145 KM E OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICOMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES

tales from mumbai

How tf did this come out so early https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL032024_Chris.pdf

When the coping is too strong

JFL at this. The storm is organizing very well

No problem bhai

Could we see a hurricane near Greenland?

Could Ernesto make a landfall in a weird location like Greenland or could he recurve into Iberia?