CurlyHeadBarrett

What about Ernesto?

Yeah I’ve posted some twitter thread on 95L on the designated thread. Jfl at the moggers the Euro is drawing up and do you think Debby will mog hard or just some slopmaxxer?

The 12z Euro is giga aggressive, has a mogger low-end Cat 4 in the western Caribbean at +216. This would be very weird for July.

Jfl at the 2005 comparison it’s ogre https://x.com/DylanFedericoWX/status/1806056643374805498

And I’m almost 29. I wonder when our first mogger hurricane might come about. Me thinks Ernesto but I’m not too sure

Fr? How long have you been tracking?

Why debby and when do you think she will come?

Only the very young ones?

Or will beryl mog Adriana Lima?

Surprised it was gfs

jfl it's over ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94): A tropical wave over the central Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized shower activity while it moves rapidly westward at around 25 mph. Environmental conditions could become more conducive for some gradual development in a couple of days over the western Caribbean Sea or over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. 2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave located a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development is possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form over the tropical Atlantic by the end of the week or this weekend while the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Forecaster Pasch/Roberts

Which model is this?

What peak?

Am I the only Millennial that knows all this slang?

What if Beryl or Chris cross basins and Bonniemaxxes? https://x.com/BhatiaKieran/status/1805939163570540877

Why are you horrified, and at what? Where does it say? Do you think 2024 will mog 2017?

Will Beryl and Chris mog or will they be looksmatched with Bret from last year? Let’s see if it’s just EPS hypemaxxing or if they’ll mog Bertha to Bikini Bottom and back.

For them to be majors? I’m thinking Ernesto tbh, sounds like a chad and looks like that name belongs on a mogger hurricane. Also I think he might come after a lull, I dunno. But imagine if Deb and Ernesto are twin moggers. Ian mogs Idalia to the depths of the Gulf because he was a category 5 and did more damage than Idalia. no problem I will correct you as well as the season goes on.

Leaning towards which one of these two?

Let’s see if it happens. Going to wait for the first real mogger storm to get a feel but I hope they don’t mog too much buildings.

And he mogs Idalia to the depths of the Gulf. I will as the season goes on I’ll update the glossary

I’m almost 29 so not that young but I wish I were again jfl I wonder around which name we would start to see the moggers coming in.

around which name do you think we will start to see the moggers come in? Thank you, fr man!

Thoughts on the slang glossary (I'm a millennial) I wrote up? How many NS do you think we'd get?

Buckle up buddy boyos https://x.com/webberweather/status/1805757386172645664 By late June-early July standards, the overall environment looks unusually conducive for tropical development over the east-central MDR next week. A few easterly waves will get tangled up with a pair of Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves (CCKWs), favoring much lower than average wind shear, a generally divergent upper-level environment, & high deep-layer moisture, all superposed onto an exceptionally warm tropical Atlantic. Recent bullish trends in NWP models are likely real & a response to the leading/ascending phase of the CCKW approaching the tropical Atlantic.