Jump to content

CurlyHeadBarrett

Members
  • Posts

    827
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by CurlyHeadBarrett

  1. I don't presently have access to compare, but yesterday's 12Z EURO had the ULL over the central GOM, which aided ventilation and built an ULAC right over the TC in the WCARIB. The GFS runs have all had the TUTT/ULL placed much further south and in closer proximity to the TC in WCARIB, which kept the TC under 20+ KTs of shear. Perhaps the new 00Z Euro came to a similar solution, hence a weaker system. Other than monitoring to see if we get a TC out of 95L, the evolution in modeling between the upper level features in the Caribbean is going to be the focus on any potential ceiling for intensity in the forecast. I do think 95L has an excellent shot of TCG and may become a strong TS, even a low-end hurricane, but I am very apprehensive of the major hurricane solutions that we may again see come and go over the next several days that would have any basis in reality. As has been repeated, the Caribbean in July is generally a graveyard for early MDR TCs for good reason. Climatology more often wins out this early in the season despite the above normal SSTs in place along potential track. I’m regarding those recent mogger runs as tales from the Caribbean graveyard until a solid td forms I need to see if it’s tales or not I am doubtful
  2. Hafs b is definitely reading tales from the Caribbean graveyard sounds like a larp solution and not believable
  3. I mog my fellow millennials to utter oblivion with zoomer slang maybe because I ldar too much on the interwebs
  4. That sounds rough. It’s great to see how much things have improved for the better technologywise
  5. What would you say has changed then to now regarding the quality and intensity of hurricane landfalls? i started tracking in 2009 but I live in Long Island so we don’t have too many guests
  6. I hope it never happens. I’m on edge especially since I tracked last year’s EPAC. it’s so jova it if happens though but hopefully never in a million years
  7. You gotta lowinhibmaxx In real life I don’t talk like this haha
  8. JFL AT THE SHIPS FORECAST THEY ARE SAYING BERYL MIGHT UNIRONICALLY BE A TERAMOGGER THIS IS CAGEFUEL IT’S OVER
  9. true. Or tera aggressive Ah yes the fluffy cloud reaper in the Caribbean awaits. We shall see
×
×
  • Create New...