PhiEaglesfan712

Unless the sun is replaced with something smaller, this isn't going to happen. January and February were cold, and we avoided averaging 5 degrees below average in either month (we're at -5.1 so far in February, but it looks like the last week will at least be warm enough to avoid). Also, March hasn't average 5 degrees below average since 1960, and there hasn't been a March that failed to reach 56 once since 1906. Yes, not even in the historically cold years of 2014 and 2015.

The Devils should have traded for Quinn Hughes. Not making that move really sank the season.

If I remember correctly, it was never apparent that it would not be happening until the event was in progress. I think they rolled with that forecast all the way through. The sad part is that if the storm even verified halfway, 2000-01 would have been remembered as an all-time great winter, with 50+ inches in NYC and 40+ inches in PHL. Instead, that winter is remember as a bust, and not as fondly as the great winters of 2002-03, 2003-04, and 2004-05 that followed.

Last 2" - 5/13 to 5/16/2025 (3.11 inches over 4 days) 2025-05-13 71 62 66.5 3.1 0 2 0.28 0.0 0 2025-05-14 66 59 62.5 -1.2 2 0 1.30 0.0 0 2025-05-15 77 63 70.0 6.0 0 5 0.03 0.0 0 2025-05-16 77 60 68.5 4.2 0 4 1.50 0.0 0 Last 1 " - 1/25/2026 (our last snowstorm) 2026-01-25 24 15 19.5 -13.7 45 0 1.39 9.3 2 Before that was 12/19/2025 (our warmest day this winter) 2025-12-19 61 31 46.0 8.3 19 0 1.48 0.0 0

Yeah, then 2002-03, 2003-04, and 2004-05 soon followed, and left 00-01 in the dust. If that 3/5/2001 storm even verified halfway, 00-01 would have been remembered in that great series of winters in the first half of the 2000s (with the exception of the obvious dud in 2001-02).

In my area, I think it was February 10, 2010. Before that was February 28, 2005 (this one didn't really pan out, though we did have the NFC Championship storm earlier that year) and then January 7, 1996.

I think it was the January 31, 2021 event. That one went at least 3 days, maybe even into a 4th.

Is this still slush or now mud?

2009-10 was technically a strong el nino, as it went above 1.5 on both the ONI and RONI. So our last moderate el nino was 2002-03.

Can see that happening. If that does happen, I could see 12-20 inches as far west as the I-95 metro area.

Can definitely understand. Until there is actually snow on the ground, there is always bust potential. (March 2001 should have taught us that.) I just learned over time to be grateful for all types of weather as they come to you because you just never know when that's going to come again. Sorry if I do come across the wrong way. I kind of feel like an outsider, if anything, as I'm not a meteorologist or anything. I hold a full time job, and do this just for a hobby/interest. I don't get anything extra if my forecast verifies.

He's trying to say I was debbing, but there is no proof of it. I said this looks a coastal storm, with those on the coast getting the most accumulation. I don't know why @The Iceman is disagreeing.

These people have to be under adult age. I can understand if our last snowiest winter was some time during the 20th century, but who could forget about 2009-10, 2010-11, 2013-14, or 2014-15? Those were at least recent enough that people should remember how cold and snowy they were.

Sounds about right, but of course this isn't the popular opinion on this board. It seems like everyone wants to hear 10+ throughout the region.

A cross between 12/26/2010 and 1/28-29/2022 seems the most likely solution.

I think a cross between this one and the January 28-29, 2022 snowstorm.

Are you sure there's still slush, or is it mud? I was in a winery at Voorhees, and can confirm that the snow on the grass is gone, and it is just mud now.

I caught, in passing, 101.5 saying 12-20 inches in some parts on NJ.

I see a coastal storm, with the higher amounts towards the coast. It looks really close, almost to the amounts.

Looks like January 28-29, 2022 all over again.

I'm tracking it. I was just answering that person's question. I was just in the office yesterday because I actually have to do work, so I didn't have time to post on the Blizzard thread. I have posted on there in previous days, like Monday, Tuesday, and Thursday. Nope, it's going the way I had predicted it. I did say there was a possibility of one big snowstorm during the final week of February, before the winter went away for good in the last days of February/first days of March. I always prefer 80 and sunny, like 3/29/2025. I realize it's just not going to happen all the time. Some days it's going to be hotter, and some days it's going to be colder. But some months have an obvious cold signal and you know are going to be cold heading into it, like this month or March 2015. But just be aware that things do eventually swing the other way. Some of our coldest winters, like 2010, 2011, and 2015, had torch months during the spring. March 2010, April 2010, May 2010, April 2011, May 2011, and May 2015 are all Top 10 warmest months. Do not be surprised if one of this spring's months turn out very warm.

Probably not, but temps should be in the 40s or 50s during that week, maybe even a 60. We should see a 70 at some point in the middle third of the month.

New maps show first two-thirds of March warm:

Above temperature departure seems like a lock. We're in a dissipating la nina, and headed into MJO Phase 4 after this weekend's event. Plus, there is very little cold air to work with. These ingredients set the stage for a warm first half of March at least.