PhiEaglesfan712

If it were up to me, I would merge the Upstate NY/Pennsylvania/Philadelphia, and NYC into one region, and do it like this: New England - CT/MA/VT/NH/RI/ME NY/PA/NJ Mid-Atlantic - DE/MD/DC/VA/WV

Couldn't 1951-52 and 53-54 be considered part of the same, albeit disjointed, el nino? I find it amazing how the PDO stayed negative during an entire triple-year el nino.

What about +PDO?

That one was weird, and really didn't behave as an el nino, due to a major volcano. Pinatubo actually caused a temporary decrease in global temperatures. If not for that, 1992 would have probably would have been another global warmest year on record (at the time), after a 3rd strong el nino in 10 years. Pinatubo caused the summer of 1992 to be one of the coldest on record CONUS, and longer term, the cold and snowy winters of 92-93, 93-94, and 95-96 in many places in the Eastern US. As for modoki el ninos, 2009-10 is probably the only strong el nino that's a modoki.

That one had a reprise during the final third of March, before going for good. Some people are probably holding out hope we get one final cold shot, and even a little snow, like that one. But it just doesn't feel like it's going to come. This feels more like 2009-10, which wrapped up in late February, and never really looked back.

Then, the monthly record for warmest temperature was broken at the end of the month. 2022/23 would have also ended below one inch if not for a late February snowfall.

Both were punctuated by early season heatwaves: 2001-02 in mid-April and 2011-12 in March.

They've been right about March, though.

The only ones I can find is 1982-83 (super el nino) -> 1986-88 (double year strong el nino) -> 1991-92 (strong el nino). The first two events combined to produce the first jump in global temperatures. Pinatubo prevented another temperature jump after the 91-92 event. Then again, this was all under a largely +PDO period.

The cold pattern in the Eastern US feels like it's already broken this month. Many places are several degrees above average for March.

1958 was the only one of those analogs that really made sense. That was a strong el nino and a wall-to-wall snowy winter, which had a previous KU (in February). The 3/30/2010 rainstorm turned to snow in Northeast PA. (I was able to see snow on the grass on parts of the PA Turnpike on 3/31/2010, when I picked up my sister from Scranton for Easter weekend.) By the end of that weekend, it legit felt like summer.

Not in all areas. Philly and the mid-Atlantic got some good snow, and even the areas that got shut out of snow were still well below average temperaturewise. If you want a shutout March, look at 09/10. Winter just suddenly stopped once the calendar flipped to March 1. The entire spring and summer was well above average.

Yes, this torch is countrywide. You'll be hard press to find a place with a negative temperature departure this month. This month might set a record for the highest tempearture departure above average CONUS for any month. March 2012 had a cold patch in the Western states.

The finishing touches of a wall-to-wall cold and snowy winter. For those who love cold and snow, 1957-58 is one of the very few universal A+ seasons.

I think that was the year of the May 18 freeze. Summer got a really late start that year.

It would be the first solidly AN month for temps since September.

Definitely agree with you there. I'd even take 80 and sunny. Or 90 and sunny. But none of these wild temperature swings we've had the last week. I don't want it to be in the 90s one day and the 50s the very next day. If I wanted that type of weather, I could move to Nebraska.

I mean, I called for a warm March and April in early February. The cold was on borrowed time. We never get more than 3 straight months of well below average temperatures anymore. The last time was in January-March 2015. Then, things turned warmer in April and May had close to record warmth. 4 straight well below average temperature months is just about impossible, especially in this warming climate.

I think mid-April 2002 and March 2012 is the best comparison. They came on the heels of warm and snowless winters, which is what we have in the West. February 2018, on the other hand, was just an outlier warm month, in what was otherwise a cold winter and early spring. If we go back to the 20th century, then the April 1976 is the most anomolous early heat wave ever in the Northeastern US. Providence recorded a 98-degree day in April, which not only smashed the April monthly record, but it was higher than any temperature recorded in May and (until last year's 100) June. [Providence breaking the June monthly high by 3 degrees last year is another amazing feat.] Temperatures never got that hot again in many places during the rest of the Bicentennial summer.

Another thing to watch out for is that we have not had a strong la nina since 2010-11. This is our longest stretch without one since 1955-56 and 1973-74. We are probably due for a strong la nina soon. (If we don't get one by 2028-29, then it will be the longest stretch without one since 1916-17 and 1955-56.) Keep in mind, many of our strongest el ninos have been immediately followed by a strong la nina: 1957-58 (strong) - No 1965-66 (strong) - No 1972-73 (super) - Yes (1973-74) 1982-83 (super) - No 1986-88 (strong) - Yes (1988-89) 1991-92 (strong) - No 1997-98 (super) - Yes (1998-99 and 1999-2000) 2009-10 (strong) - Yes (2010-11) 2015-16 (super) - No 2023-24 (strong) - No

Trading Jared McCain was already a bad mistake. Trading Maxey would compound it. If anything, the Sixers should have kept McCain, and traded Embiid (the timing of George's suspension made him untradable at the deadline, but they could move him in the offseason). The Sixers could have turned the page with Maxey, McCain, and Edgecombe as core of the future. Trading Maxey, while still keeping Embiid and George on the roster, would stunt the rebuild for this team.

What about 1986 and 2009? (I'm not including 1987, because that el nino was already in progress, and it had dissipated already by the end of winter 1988... giving a jump start on the very strong 1988-89 la nina).

Even if it does, it will be an all-rain event. Temps are going to be in the 50s.