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PhiEaglesfan712

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About PhiEaglesfan712

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KPHL
  • Location:
    Greater Philadelphia Area

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  1. PhiEaglesfan712
    A little more south and a lot of locations had less than an inch of snow in 19-20. PHL had 17.1" of snow in 18-19 and 0.3" in 19-20, while ACY had 17.8" in 18-19 and 0.5" in 19-20.
  2. PhiEaglesfan712
    Pretty funny how both 2017-18 and 2018-19 ended with the same DJF temperature for PHL. I'll take the highs of 2017-18 over the consistency of 2018-19. But no way am I ever going to take 2019-20 over 2018-19. 19-20 is just another 11-12. I'm taking a winter with consistent cold shots and small snowstorms like 18-19 (and running) any day over a wall-to-wall torch, snowless winter like 11-12 or 19-20. At least we got some of the big October 2011 snowstorm. We were shut out in December 2019.
  3. PhiEaglesfan712
    In retrospect, 2018-19 wasn't that bad of a winter, considering the one that followed it. 18-19 was a nickels and dimes winter in the mid-Atlantic, but it was probably the one that provided the most consistent cold shots/snow of all the winters post-2015. Yes, 2017-18 and 2020-21 had more snow, but both of them either had an extended warm period (February for 17-18) or snow shutoff (late December-end of January 20-21). 18-19 is still the coldest Nov-Mar period in PHL post-2015. 1/31/2019 was the last time I really had to layer up. If you want to see an all-around disaster winter, there's 2019-20.
  4. PhiEaglesfan712
    I'm particularly looking at December 2-4 here in the Philly area.
  5. PhiEaglesfan712
    The MEI has been updated. AS was -0.6 and SO was -0.5 I certainly wasn't expecting that, but the la nina is cooked. (Although we got an offical weak la nina on the MEI.)
  6. PhiEaglesfan712
    Yeah, I don't see that Thanksgiving snowstorm coming to fruition. However, I think we are primed for a widespread snow event during the first week of December.
  7. PhiEaglesfan712
    The Weather Channel has been very good at predicting crappy (torch) winter months in recent years. They nailed Decembers 2015, 2021, and 2023 in advance. For what it's worth, they have January torching. I think February is going to be the best month for winter weather.
  8. PhiEaglesfan712
    Cold beginning of December is pretty much locked at this point. The question now is whether any part of the Eastern US can capitalize on this winter.
  9. PhiEaglesfan712
    I highly doubt a deep freeze will happen, but I see colder than average temperatures during the first third of the month. There's a very good chance for a snow event during this time frame. However, it will turn warmer than average for the middle third of December. I can see cooler than average temperatures during the final third of December. However, I am not sure of a Christmas snow event. The last White Christmas at PHL was in 2002, and the last snow event near Christmas was December 26, 2010.
  10. PhiEaglesfan712
    As I have said all along, the first third of December will be colder than average for most of the Eastern US, while the middle third of December will be warmer than average. I think the potential is there for a snowstorm somewhere on Dec. 4 or 5.
  11. PhiEaglesfan712
    2002-03 to 2009-10 was a weird stretch of 4 one-year el ninos in 8 years. 2002-03 - Moderate el nino 2003-04 - ENSO neutral 2004-05 - Weak el nino 2005-06 - Weak la nina 2006-07 - Weak el nino 2007-08 - Strong la nina 2008-09 - Weak la nina 2009-10 - Strong el nino
  12. PhiEaglesfan712
    Not really. That winter was a unicorn, one-of-a-kind. November 1989 was already cold, and it snowed on Thanksgiving (it's still the most recent Thanksgiving snow for PHL). December 1989 was record cold. Then, all of a sudden, the pattern changed and January 1990 was 15 degrees warmer than December 1989. That jump is bigger than the normal March-April or April-May jump. The first third of December is going to be cold, but the middle third should be above average temperaturewise, and overall, December 2024 should be near average. January 2025 is going to be warm like January 1990, but I still think February 2025 will be cold and snowy.
  13. PhiEaglesfan712
    I don't want to put my exact location. What I can tell you is that it's still too early to pinpoint exactly where the snow will be. My gut says the mid-Atlantic. However, I can tell you that the first ten or so days of December is going to be below average for most of the Eastern US.
  14. PhiEaglesfan712
    The last case that fits this criteria was late November/early December 2020. 2020 11 29 -0.95333 0.77863 6 1.2308950 2020 11 30 -1.06396 0.66050 6 1.2523063 2020 12 1 -1.11400 0.51679 6 1.2280341 2020 12 2 -1.10499 0.36181 6 1.1627164 2020 12 3 -1.04231 0.21018 6 1.0632901 2020 12 4 -0.93507 0.07536 6 0.9381018 I'll take my chances with MJO 6. This is what kicked off December 2020 and February 2021.
  15. PhiEaglesfan712
    lol, it's not going to snow on Friday. The odds of that happening are about the same as Patriots winning the Super Bowl this year or the PDO flipping to positive this winter.
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