soadforecasterx

Looking over models at 500 and at surface. I don't think many realize how close we were to a mecs. Look at nam 12k for example. That north vort now phases in late and you have a bombing low the second it gets off shore.

GFS looks like to be 1-3 as well

Well Icon is in line with the nams.

Rgem is snow showers at best

Bulk of precip looks north of 6z on nam.

Loving the trends so far day.

From what I under stand that north vort is what is killing off the moisture. We Keep weaking and getting that north vort out the way. The better our chances at at 1-3/2-4 event.

I mean it was one of the last models to move south. For a while it had the jackpot up around the M/D line.

Honestly 18z GFS is what you want to see if you want a chance of 1-3". Sadly this model has been horrible this year.

Its a shame things break up as soon as it gets to our area. would be so nice to see a region wide 2-4" so everyone can win.

Unfortunately

Alot of west leaning members.

There any chance this Saturdays event can be something like Boxing day? Where a last second better phase ends up giving more of a storm?

I could be wrong but these type of storms seem to always come more north than forecasted. 4" is my guess for my area but would love to see a PHL jackpot.

looks like icon and gfs on board for around an inch of snow for areas around PHL. Could be a nice surprise.