Brian5671
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Everything posted by Brian5671
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GFS ticked east so maybe a meet in the middle scenario is unfolding
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that fact that everything has moved towards it this morning is a good sign
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imagine going from a miss to talking about mixed precip in 24 hrs...oh wait we did that on 1/25
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watches by this afternoon for some areas
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6z had nothing north of ACY and now it's up to NYC
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rain just started here
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NAM is good for rain/snow/ice lines-usually correct 24-48 hrs in
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models that show a good solution are good models. Euro was trash model until 18z when it became great again
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Juno. The Euro and NAM were too far west
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I dont stay up anymore I just look at how many pages there are since I went to bed-lots I know it's good...
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and then when it doesn't happen they will say "They are never right"
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should be new data by 0z I would think. If it's still there then I'd be a little more interested
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it's either the greatest coup of all time or the GFS being the GFS
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LOL
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too much of a good thing-cold and blocking-PV too far south-bone dry since 1/25 with a .25 liquid equiv since then
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It may show one more crazy solution especially since the 18z run often is a weenie run
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Getting late early....down to about 3 weeks before climo really works against us
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When? Not from Monday on....
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The Tuesday 12z runs were the big ones-backed off after that...
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Hopefully we torch after that week....it's pretty much over by then anyway
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and all the models were on board last year even the Euro....same issues with the fast PAC flow....
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Yep I remember it-the Euro took it away at 12z that day and it never came back and the rest of the models lost it right about that time. Winter was essentially over at that point I don't think it snowed again and march was fairly mild if I remember correctly
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yippee! Would rather it be sunny and dry than that.
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if we get no precip from this storm some places might be on track for a Top 5 driest Feb
