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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. takes away from the urgency of it when it's issued for the smallest of events
  2. there's going to be some disappointed folks on the far NE sections of the QPF forecasts
  3. I've never understood it-how long are you snowed in at your house? Maybe half a day tops?
  4. It may not be all that warm monday outside of a couple of hours. A half inch of rain even at 40 degrees on a 6 inch snowpack wont kill it all
  5. definitely don't want to end up in a subsidence area near one of the bands....
  6. Agreed-will absorb most of it and turn it into a glacier once we go below freezing Monday nite.
  7. That's the key here-southern areas want a heavy thump of snow up front then went the sleet gets there it's mostly done with
  8. Happens alot-the Dec 2020 was a good example where the sleet line ended up further north and the NAM was the only model that had it. That said the NAM has been all over the place with this one.
  9. Upton has 5-9 here-depends on banding. GFS is a wet outlier which is quite unusual
  10. upton going 5-9 here-all will depend on banding...
  11. Probably get 3~4 quick inches with that then maybe another 1-2
  12. Your missing my point I’m talking about its ability to sniff out mid level warmth
  13. No but I bet it’s further north than most think
  14. We go through this every year the Nam is good at showing the mix line which always ends up further north in the end alot of denial out there
  15. looks a bit like the euro with that heavy swath north of NYC-windshield wiper effect right now
  16. let's hear your thoughts instead of complaining about people on a weather board being excited for some snow
  17. RGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 107 PM EST Wed Dec 24 2025 CTZ005-009-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078-080-176>179-250215- /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0004.251226T2100Z-251227T1800Z/ Northern Fairfield-Southern Fairfield-Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex- Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland- Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)- Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk- Southwest Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens- Southern Nassau- 107 PM EST Wed Dec 24 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 8 inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey, and southeast New York. * WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions may impact the Friday evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ For more information from the National Weather Service visit https://weather.gov/nyc
  18. even on regular storms with a SW to NE movement orientation you see that on the NW fringe....
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