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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. yeah if that happens even the existing snowback will go....still have 3-4 inches here even after today's dampness and low 40's
  2. Or hope that by the time the rain gets here, most of the precip is done which does happen sometimes....
  3. Even Boxing day was a miss 2 days out and Jan 2016, the northern fringe was very much up in the air until go time. The Euro was consistently too far south
  4. yep the high dews are eating the pack here-down to about 3 inches
  5. Given the GFS south and east bias that's good.
  6. and we're in the JP now-you want the GFS to be S and E at this range
  7. Sometimes that's when we get the big event-when the NAO or AO is in rapid flux
  8. There's often a weenie band on the far north/northwestern edge of the shield. Definitely held true last night
  9. It only really hit the 10 miles or so along the Jersey shore. I was NW of Philly-never saw anything and the sun was visible through the overcast...terrible. Was in HS and they wisely didn't cancel. - Radar on this one shows the snow having trouble moving north-could be issues for anyone north of NYC (Upton has 1-2 here but not sure looking at radar)
  10. out of range models is a tradition here-If I had a nickle for everytime someone said "the 84 hr NAM looks good" I'd be a millionaire.
  11. Tend to agree. We have not had a big cutter all season so have to factor in the seasonal trend here...
  12. In the end this was moving too fast for big totals. I flew home from Denver yesterday I got in 30 min early pilot said the jet was absolutely screaming
  13. About 4 inches here. BDR measured 5 which is amazing they are like Central Park there always under measuring .
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