Brian5671
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Everything posted by Brian5671
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Too late in the year-would just be a cold rain for most. Also have to question how cold it gets, there's been very little cold anywhere since late December
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Great day out there today, already 57 here
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There's no really cool air anywhere....we're still above normal even with the blocking.
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Even with a -NAO we're plus 4....LOL
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Still clear down this way but winds have been picking up all day -
gloomy? It's clear out.
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and a La Nina-could be very active.
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Seems like there is less cold this year though-I'm wondering if I've had my last freeze already. SST's in the western ATL are well above normal so even with the onshore flow it likely won't be as bad as last year which had a cold pool off the NE coast....
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winds have been increasing here all morning-can also see the cloud deck off to the east slowing moving westward
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I've learned that if it doesn't come by late January it's generally not coming....you have a couple lucky outliers but for the most part we're toast if the pattern change doesn't arrive by then
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some including him using analogs from colder times, oceans were colder etc. What worked in the winter of 60-61 is not applicable for today's baseline....
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yep, it was time to mail it in when that happened. Models never showed anything but warmth and rain from that point on....
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Would be nice if they would shorten the season going forward but it won't happen. 162 games is crazy
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April 2020 temperature forecast contest
Brian5671 replied to Roger Smith's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
DCA +4 NYC +3.5 BOS +2.5 ORD +3 ATL+ 5 IAH +4 DEN+1 PHX+1 SEA +1.5 -
Given that we saw 70's in January, Jan/Feb/Mar were +5 or better-nothing would shock me. Just no cold air anywhere here since December.
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That may come shortly-once this NAO block breaks down there's alot of heat from TX to GA/FL just waiting to come northeast
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really the only winter event we have not experienced here over the last 20 yrs....would love to see a redux of this one someday
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reminds of 01-02 and 11-12, we've moved into a dry torch regime-no end in sight really. Time to wrap it up, let's go torch!
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Lots of new Terrain in the past 5 years-Peak 6 and 7 are great, your ticket is also good at Vail, Beaver Creek Keystone and A-Basin
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I'm heading out to Breck 1/19-1/26-looks like another banner year out there....
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Lately? the woman is stark raving mad
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Faux outrage!
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89 was horrid-coming years after our last real storm, the hype was high....living in Philly we got nothing but a cloud deck
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My twin sons started skiing at 4. They're 10 and much better than me now....LOL-they really learn fast at that age-the lifts can be a bit of a challenge-have to lift them up etc.
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What Type Of Extreme Storm Will Make Headlines This October?
Brian5671 replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
I think October ends up with a dry torch, +3 or even +4
