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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    of course but climo is low. What does NYC average in December-3 inches?
  2. Brian5671
    even if we get a favorable pattern it's still on the early side for snow/ice....
  3. Brian5671
    looks like starts overnight Saturday-both NAMS have it going all day Sunday, but there's a sharp cutoff to the NW so any SE correction would take the rain out a bit earlier. Amounts are forecast to be b/w an inch and possibly up to 2 inches in spots
  4. Brian5671
    you want "some" SE ridge-that's often the storm track along the northern edge of the ridge. Too much blocking and it's southern sliders and mid-altantic specials. 93-94 had a weak to moderate SE ridge which got us multiple moderate snow and ice events almost every week.
  5. Brian5671
    Last year was all day 8-10 head fakes-have to hope this year is different...
  6. Brian5671
    looks like January!
  7. Brian5671
    the model agreement on the pattern is intriguing but I'll wait-it's still in the longer term....
  8. Brian5671
    you know it's going to be warm when you fold up shop....
  9. Brian5671
    too early to say-something to watch as we move up in time, we're still 9 days out.
  10. Brian5671
    I agree-that's why I remain skeptical
  11. Brian5671
    Judah Cohen writes today about a possible SSW in mid December this year-time will tell....
  12. Brian5671
    That last Euro image looks like coast to coast cold could develop especially with some blocking
  13. Brian5671
    and the general public just laps it up like a thirsty dog-every winter is going to be "severe" and cold and snowy....
  14. Brian5671
    agree-although I think 2013 was very dry and we did well. We had a very wet October this year so that's good. November has been dry but that often comes with the arctic (dry) cold.
  15. Brian5671
    conjecture at this point....models change in a heartbeat. Also, who wants cold in November? It rarely yields anything. Let the cold pattern wait til 12/1 or even 1/1.
  16. Brian5671
    yeah that year and 11/12 featured dry warm conditions which started around 11/1 and never really wavered except for a 10 day period in mid to late January those years.
  17. Brian5671
    22 at BDR which is record low. (1986)
  18. Brian5671
    very little salt here in CT-a few parking lots had it down, but no roads/highways that I could see on my travels today.
  19. Brian5671
    Agree-it was too bullish on accumulations-it was in the 60's yesterday and well above freezing today with light precip forecast-you'd need heavy rates to get anything to stick....
  20. Brian5671
    not happening
  21. Brian5671
    mood flakes for most-the band is moving east fairly quickly and will be out by 1pm or so...
  22. Brian5671
    yeah some models show a coating, but agree-light rates and it was in the 50's and 60's last 2 days and temps in the mid to upper 30's today....unlikely to see anything accumulate
  23. Brian5671
    that guy had the thinnest skin of anyone.
  24. Brian5671
    new NAM has almost no QPF here now lol -
  25. Brian5671
    tomorrow's problem is a lack of QPF too...NAM is down to .05 to .15 region wide...couple of hours of light rain and that's it.
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