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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. upton has us near 50 on Thursday....
  2. yep know when to hold em and when to throw them. When models backed off the late Jan pattern change about a week out, that's when I threw in the towel personally.
  3. it's the CFS so take it for what's it worth....(or any model 2 months out)
  4. Borrowed from JB's post this AM-but the CFS for April-here comes winter! -
  5. No cold high to the north is the other issue here
  6. nothing to support a snowstorm-every telly remains unfavorable.
  7. could go for 3 clunkers in a row and forecast it for next year.
  8. about 3 weeks after the rest of us knew it was over....
  9. Possible, however there's a lot less cold this year. This has been an incredible torch
  10. 96-97, 97-98, 98-99 have to be up there....
  11. based on what? The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result. There's currently nothing that supports a "snowy" March
  12. whoopdee do, 20 minutes of non accumulating snow after 2 inches of rain
  13. daffodils are pushing through the ground here. No ice on any lakes, even the parking lot piles from the 1/18 event are going fast....just no sign of winter at all...
  14. saving a bunch of money on heating costs this "winter"
  15. GFS has a cold bias in the LR so that's why we get these cold/snowy runs that never verify
  16. this winter might make 11-12 look cold and snowy....
  17. I would not expect any big changes-this god awful pattern has been locked in place and too much to fix overall.... Models have some headfakes, but I'm not buying into any of it.
  18. yep back to the drawing board on that one....
  19. dramatic flip that year....went from torch to freezer in the space of a few days
  20. Wow JB is being ripped to shreds on Twitter...
  21. NCEP sets it up that way so weenies always have hope...."hey folks, the 384 hr GFS has a HECS!"
  22. Too much to fix this year, I think the cancel calls are justified this year...of course central and northern NE have better chances due to latitude but for the bulk of CT/RI/MA it's over.
  23. Also the warm water N of Australia which would favor MJO 4/5/6. I didn't see anyone say "oh wait a minute" that changes things....
  24. they still could. One HECS is all it takes. Temperature wise, though, those forecasts are toast, we're looking at a top 10 warmest winter. Anyone see a forecast for that?
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